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000
FXUS64 KMOB 241645
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1145 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

VFR will prevail through the remainder of the day, with a potential
for fog development late tonight, with visibility reductions to
MVFR category or lower possible in some interior locations. For
now, with regard to TAF locations, it appears KMOB may have the
best chance for visibility reduction between 08-12Z Thursday
morning. Surface winds will be light and somewhat variable for the
remainder of this afternoon and tonight, becoming more predominate
light southeasterly on Thursday. DS/12

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

The forecast for this afternoon remains on track, with mostly
sunny skies expected and temperatures rising into the upper 70s
and lower 80s. Northwesterly flow aloft will continue across the
region tonight and and Thursday on the backside of a shortwave
trough that will be moving into the western Atlantic off the
southeast US coast. At the surface, a high pressure ridge will
continue to stretch west- east across our area through Thursday as
well. A somewhat variable light surface wind flow pattern will
continue tonight into early Thursday, but increase slightly and
become more predominately southerly by late in the day on
Thursday. Gradual increase in low/mid level moisture through the
period, with PWATS rising into the 1.25 to 1.50 inch range tonight
and Thursday. Overall though, the the deep layer between
850-700MB. Some weak shortwave energy aloft on Thursday, combined
with the increasing moisture, could result in an isolated shower
or storm over the northern third of the forecast area (up along
the Highway 84 corridor) on Thursday, but for now the chances of
any rain for now remains too low to carry an PoP greater than 20
percent. There could also be some very patchy light fog
development across interior portions of the forecast area late
tonight. The gradual warming trend continues. Lows tonight are
expected to range from the middle 50s over most interior locations
to the lower 60s along the coast. High temperatures return to 80s
for most locations on Thursday, with low to mid 80s expected
except for some upper 70s along the immediate coast where the
onshore flow moderates temperatures just slightly. DS/12

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      59  83  61  81  66  81  66  81 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   61  81  64  78  68  79  69  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      64  79  66  78  68  79  69  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   56  85  58  84  61  83  61  84 /   0  10   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  56  85  59  85  63  84  61  84 /   0  10   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      56  82  58  84  62  83  62  83 /   0  20   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   56  85  58  84  61  83  62  84 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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