Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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FXUS65 KCYS 011753
AFDCYS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1153 AM MDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 405 AM MDT SUN MAY 1 2016

THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
THE LAST FEW DAYS WILL EXIT THE AREA TODAY. A FEW LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL LINGER ALONG THE COLORADO BORDER THIS MORNING BUT BY
THIS AFTERNOON CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL BE NEAR
ZERO. SKIES WILL SLOWLY CLEAR FROM THE NORTH AND THE WEST THROUGH
THE DAY...SUCH THAT BY THIS EVENING THAT MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
WILL SEE SUNSHINE AFTER SEVERAL CLOUDY DAYS.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS ALONG WITH A
WARMING TREND. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL STILL STRUGGLE TO WARM WITH
HIGHS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE FIRST DAY OF MAY. FOR MONDAY
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WITHIN 5 TO 10 DEGREES OF NORMAL WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL BY TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 405 AM MDT SUN MAY 1 2016

MUCH WARMER AND NICER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH WED AND THURS. THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE OVER WYOMING/COLORADO BY WED WITH
700 MB TEMPS RISING TO AROUND 6C.  EVEN WARMER TEMPS WILL OCCUR BY
THURS...WITH WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE 70S ACROSS THE PLAINS.  WITH
RIDGING ALOFT AND LIMITED INSTABILITY...NOT EXPECTING MUCH
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ON WED AND THURS AFTNS.  THE MODELS ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT AT SHOWING A DEEP CLOSED LOW OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA ON FRI THAT LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD UTAH ON SAT.
WILL SEE HOW QUICKLY THE CLOSED LOW PUSHES EASTWARD...HOWEVER IT
APPEARS THAT THE BEST CHANCE OF CONVECTION WILL BE SATURDAY. THERE
COULD EVEN BE SOME STRONG STORMS ON THAT AFTN/EVENING AS FLOW
ALOFT AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR INCREASE IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1152 AM MDT SUN MAY 1 2016

VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT AT 5 TO 10
KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 405 AM MDT SUN MAY 1 2016

DRIER AND WARMER THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY THIS WEEK. CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS UNLIKELY THOUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SML
LONG TERM...ZF
AVIATION...CLH
FIRE WEATHER...SML



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