Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 270315
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
815 PM MST FRI DEC 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
NORTHLAND. FAIR BUT COOL WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM MAY ARRIVE BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONE LAST DISTURBANCE WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST TROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE IT PUSHES EAST ON SATURDAY. THIS
WILL KEEP PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN THE FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA FOR
TONIGHT WITH AN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER POSSIBLE MAINLY FROM THE
MOGOLLON RIM NORTH AND EAST. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOUT 5 DEGREES COLDER THAN LAST NIGHT. NO MAJOR FORECAST UPDATES
NEEDED THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /332 PM MST/...
THE SOUTHWEST TROUGH WILL EJECT EAST OF ARIZONA LATE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS GRADUALLY COMING TO A CLOSE.
IN THE MEANTIME...ISOLATED AND GENERALLY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THIS EVENING. EXPECT FAIR BUT CHILLY WEATHER ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA OVER THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN. WHILE MODEL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IS SIGNIFICANT IN THE
DETAILS...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE
MIDDLE STAGES OF NEXT WEEK. STAY TUNED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS THE WINTER STORM THREAT OF THIS FEATURE BECOMES MORE
CLEAR...BUT AS OF NOW...THE TIMING FOR APPRECIABLE SNOW IS
CURRENTLY FOCUSED ON THE WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...AN ISOLATED -SHSN WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH OTHERWISE PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HRS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCS/KD
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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