Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
FXUS65 KFGZ 281057

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
357 AM MST SAT MAY 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Just enough moisture will linger through next week
for a very slight chance of showers or thunderstorms each day,
mainly over higher elevations. Otherwise, warmer temperatures are
in store starting today and continuing into next week.


.DISCUSSION...From today through the Memorial Day weekend, daytime
temperatures will warm to near normal for the first time in about
two weeks. Just enough moisture will linger for a slight chance of
afternoon/early evening showers or possibly a thunderstorm, mainly
over the higher elevations. Rainfall, if any, will be light. Winds
will generally be light but could become gusty around showers, due
to the high-based nature of the activity.

Wednesday through Friday, models are in good agreement that high
pressure will strengthen over the southwest United States. Daytime
temperatures are forecast to warm to a few degrees above normal
which means upper 70s for the mountains including Flagstaff, to
near 90 for Prescott, Winslow and Payson. With the stronger
heating, afternoon cloud buildups and possibly a few showers or
thunderstorms remain in the forecast for mainly mountain areas.
Again this activity would be high-based, producing locally gusty
winds but little rainfall.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z Package...Expect VFR conditions for the next
24 hours. High based SHRA and TSRA are possible along and north of
Interstate 40 from 18z-01z. Erratic winds with gusts as high as 40
knots in the vicinity of SHRA/TSRA are possible for lower
elevations...especially within the Little Colorado River Valley near
Winslow. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...There is a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon along and north of Interstate 40.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon across
the higher elevations north of a Grand Canyon to Window Rock line.
Erratic and gusty winds possible near storms.

Monday through Wednesday...Only isolated showers and thunderstorms
are expected with relatively light winds into the middle of next






For Northern Arizona weather information visit is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.