Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 230545

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1145 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Issued at 346 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

Red Flag Warning has been cancelled.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 300 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

West to southwest winds around 10 mph this evening will veer to the
northwest and north gusting to perhaps 20 mph as a cold front moves
through. Low temperatures tonight will be not as cold as this
morning with readings in the low to mid 30s in far eastern Colorado,
upper 30s to mid 40s elsewhere.

North to northwest winds increase quickly after sunrise Monday with
peak wind gusts to around 45 mph expected, generally east of the
CO/KS border. High temperatures should reach the mid 50s to around
60 in far eastern Colorado, low to mid 60s elsewhere which is
slightly below normal for late October.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 249 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

After a cold front pushes through western Kansas early Monday,
another surge of drier air will move into the high plains. Tuesday
night, we will see NW winds 25 knots with gusts 30-35 knots across
the area. Afterward, winds will relax becoming westerly.

Ridging will continue to build over the area giving us mostly
sunny skies through Thursday. Come Thursday evening into Friday,
temperatures will start to drop ahead of a fast moving cold front
from the Pacific Northwest. Expecting strong CAA to accompany this
system with a chance of mixed rain and snow showers moving along
the northwest CO/KS state line. Low temps will drop into the mid
20`s overnight Thursday and Friday, and any counties in the CWA
that have not met hard freeze criteria should finally meet the

Sunday, we will see the area start to warm up ever so slightly.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1134 PM MDT Sun Oct 22 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at GLD and MCK through the TAF period.
Following the passage of a strong prefrontal surface trough at
both GLD and MCK around 08Z, winds will turn more northwest with
LLWS expected as winds just off the surface increase to 35-40kts.
By 14-16Z, those winds will begin mixing to the surface with a
corresponding increase in surface winds. Winds will turn more
north northwesterly through the day with sustained winds 25-30kts
gusting to 35-40kts. Around 00Z, winds will lose their gustiness
at the surface and start to decouple as the overnight inversion
sets up around sunset. This will lead to another round of LLWS at
both locations at less than 1kft AGL.




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