Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 141725
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1125 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 351 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

A MILD PACIFIC FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH ALL EXCEPT THE FAR EASTERN
FA. AN AREA OF RECENT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST FA HAS JUST
EXITED THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA BEHIND THE
PACIFIC FRONT HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID 30S WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

A DISTURBANCE IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM
CENTRAL MT INTO NWRN WY. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO
WESTERN SD AND THE NEBR PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS ALONG WITH MUCH MILDER AIR TO WESTERN
NEBRASKA. H85 TEMPS WILL RISE TO NEAR 1C IN THE FAR NERN ZONES TO
NEAR 7C IN THE FAR SWRN ZONES. FCST HIGHS WERE NUDGED UP A DEGREE OR
TWO WITH UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S FCST...EXCEPT UPPER 50S FAR
SOUTHWESTERN ZONES. AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
SANDHILLS LATE THIS AFTERNOON A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE AND ADDED
A MENTION. PREVAILING WINDS TODAY WILL BE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

FOR TONIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
FORECAST THIS EVENING. THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS CONFINED
TO NCTRL NEBR WITH SPRINKLES POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN
AREAS. AS THIS FEATURE MOVES SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS AND CLEARING SKIES FORECAST. LOWS TONIGHT
REMAIN NEAR PREVIOUS FCST LOWS MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S. PREVAILING
WINDS NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 351 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

A QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION LATE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A THERMAL RIDGE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S AND
50S. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AS THE
SHORTWAVE PASSES. EXPECT HIGHS TO BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER TUESDAY
BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT IT WILL STILL BE MILD WITH THE PACIFIC AIR IN
PLACE. THERE COULD BE A LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWER WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE MONDAY NIGHT...BUT MOISTURE IS QUITE LIMITED AND THE BETTER
LIFT WILL STAY NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE IMMEDIATE AREA.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD SOUTH TO NORTH
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES AHEAD OF A LONG
WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THE LONGWAVE WILL DAMPEN AND
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY. EXPECT A VERY WARM
DAY THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES RISING
INTO THE 15C TO 20C RANGE. LITTLE SNOW COVER BY THEN...AND NOT MUCH
IN THE WAY OF CIRRUS CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALLOW FOR A VERY WARM DAY.
HAVE BUMPED HIGHS INTO THE 60S AT ALL LOCATIONS...WITH 70 DEGREES
ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. IT WILL BE SOMEWHAT COOLER FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS ANOTHER PACIFIC COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...BUT STILL
EXPECTING HIGHS IN THE 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST OF WESTERN NEBRASKA THROUGH
MIDDAY MONDAY...AND STRATUS OVER NORTHERN/EASTERN NEBRASKA
AFFECTING KONL WILL SLOWLY LIFT THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING...BUT VISBY OR CIG
RESTRICTIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. AMBIENT SURFACE WINDS WILL
GENERALLY STAY AROUND 10 KTS OUT OF THE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...ROBERG
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...TAYLOR
AVIATION...SNIVELY


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