Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 221026
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
326 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
NEVADA AGAIN TODAY...WHILE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS SET UP ACROSS
CENTRAL NEVADA. STORM ACTIVITY ENDS LATER THIS EVENING WITH WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SHOULD SEE SOME
AFTERNOON CLOUD BUILD-UPS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA MOST
AFTERNOONS THIS WEEK...HOWEVER NOT EXPECTING STORMS TO DEVELOP.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. THICK CLOUDS ARE SPREADING UP
FROM CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEVADA THIS MORNING.
EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP OVER MUCH OF NORTHWESTERN NEVADA
LATE THIS MORNING...WITH THE POTENTIAL TO LAST WELL INTO THIS
EVENING. STRONG SHEAR OVER NORTHWESTERN NEVADA IN COMBINATION WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL MAKE SEVERE STORMS A
POSSIBILITY AGAIN TODAY. STORM-FREE OVER EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY
WITH DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DRY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA
WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL SET UP AGAIN DUE TO A
75KT H3 JET OVERHEAD.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. AN UPPER LOW MOVING
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL
BRING A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV FOR MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. BUILDING FOUR CORNERS HIGH WILL BEGIN TO BRING
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. BY
SUNDAY MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION BUT
WAS NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO ADD THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FORECAST JUST
YET. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TO START THE PERIOD WITH
HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 80S. OVER THE WEEKEND HIGHS WILL CLIMB BACK TO
NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AS FOUR CORNERS HIGH EXPANDS
NORTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION...INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTHWEST NV WILL BRING ABOUT A 20
PERCENT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM TO THE KWMC TERMINAL AFT 19Z
TODAY. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP OVER
NORTHWESTERN NEVADA TODAY...WHILE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS SET
UP ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ENDS THIS EVENING WITH DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER
MUCH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SHOULD SEE SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS
CLOUDS BUILDING UP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA MOST AFTERNOONS
LATER THIS WEEK...HOWEVER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS LIMITED...SO
NOT EXPECTING ANY STORMS TO DEVELOP. FOR NOW THE MAIN CONCERNS
WILL BE STORMS AND NEW FIRE STARTS ACROSS ZONES 467 AND 468
TODAY...ALONG WITH DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A COUPLE ONGOING FIRES PERSIST.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY...RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT
RANGE...SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE COUNTY...NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY...SOUTHERN
LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY...WHITE PINE COUNTY.

&&

$$

96/91/91/96




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