Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 272217
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
317 PM PDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BY LATE
JULY STANDARDS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE LOWER 40S WILL BE
COMMON. DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR
MASS HAS SETTLED IN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV TODAY IN THE WAKE
OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL LEAD TO CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BY LATE JULY STANDARDS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO THE LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON. SOME OF THE
COLDEST SPOTS LIKE WILDHORSE AND CHARLESTON WILL SEE LOWS DIP
BELOW FREEZING. SEVERAL LOCATIONS WILL BE FLIRTING WITH RECORD LOW
TEMPS. ISSUED AN SPS HIGHLIGHTNING THESE CHILLY TEMPS. DRY WITH A
WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD UP FROM THE
SOUTH WITH TEMPS BACK TO NEAR NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. WARMING TREND
THURSDAY ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS UP FROM THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. MOIST AIR UNDER THE
BUILDING RIDGE WILL RESULT IN INCREASED CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
THURSDAY...HOWEVER NOT EXPECTING ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. STILL EXPECTING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHERN NYE COUNTY...HOWEVER LATEST MODEL RUNS
SUGGEST THE AIR MASS WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER TO MOISTEN UP...AND
WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE MORE STABLE THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. FOR NOW
LIMITING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FRIDAY TO NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY AND THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTION OF LANDER COUNTY...WITH ONLY
ISOLATED ACTIVITY. SIMILARLY FOR SATURDAY THE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL BE A LITTLE SLOWER IN ITS NORTHERLY PROGRESSION.
HAVE BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SATURDAY. EXPECT
MOST ACTIVITY TO BE OVER THE HIGHLAND REGION OF CENTRAL
NEVADA...THOUGH STILL ONLY ISOLATED. MAY ALSO SEE A FEW STORM CELLS
REACHING UP INTO NORTHERN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES AND UP INTO
HUMBOLDT COUNTY. ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN MOST PORTIONS OF ELKO COUNTY
SHOULD REMAIN STORM-FREE SATURDAY. NOT AS MUCH MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
RESPECT TO THUNDERSTORM LOCATIONS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...SO WENT WITH
A BROADBRUSH OF ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL
OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE IS
AGREEMENT WITH THE RIDGE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN ON MONDAY...SO EXPECT
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN TO RECEDE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...DRY WITH VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS. IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY THIS MORNING...COOL NORTHERLY
FLOW IS DOMINATING ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS
CAN EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING TO VEER SLIGHTLY TO THE
NORTH OR NORTHEAST LATER TONIGHT. MUCH COLDER TUESDAY MORNING...WITH
A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHICH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY...AND INTO NORTHERN
NEVADA THIS WEEKEND.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY WITH A WARMING TREND BEGINNING TUESDAY.
MONSOON MOISTURE MAKES ITS RETURN AT THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

91/96/96/91



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