Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 040208
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1008 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST STILL LOOKS ON TRACK THIS EVENING. CURRENT
FORECAST BRINGS IN POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR SWVA AND MOST OF NETN
LATER IN THE NIGHT. STILL THINKING THIS TIMING WILL HOLD TRUE.
CURRENT CLUSTER OF STORMS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN KY SHOULD CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD OUR CWA. MODERATE/STRONG CAPE
AXIS LOCATED ALONG A SW TO NE GRADIENT UP THROUGH NEKY...WITH A
SHARP DECLINING GRADIENT INTO OUR NORTHERN AREAS WHERE MUCH WEAKER
CAPE IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED. STORMS MAY STAY NORTH OF OUR ENTIRE
AREA BUT IF THEY DO MAKE IT IN I WOULD EXPECT MUCH WEAKER ACTIVITY
COMPARED TO WHAT CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY IS DEPICTING ACROSS NEKY.
NO CHANGES TO FORECAST. DID TWEAK HOURLY TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS TO
MATCH UP WITH CURRENT OBS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             69  95  73  93 /  10  10  10  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  67  92  70  90 /  10  20  10  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       67  91  68  89 /  10  20  10  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              65  89  65  88 /  20  30  20  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

SR


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