Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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379
FXUS63 KPAH 081206
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
606 AM CST Thu Dec 8 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 602 AM CST Thu Dec 8 2016

For aviation section only.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Dec 8 2016

Short term can be summed up as mainly dry and unseasonably
cold as a modified arctic air mass sinks southeast into the OH/MS
River Valleys. Though we will not break any records, we should
see many locations dip down well into the teens both tonight and
Friday night. After highs only in the 30s today, readings Friday
will likely stay in the upper 20s up along I-64 corridor, with 30
to 35 most other areas. Things will begin to warm some by the end
of the period (Saturday/Saturday night) as the high pressure system
moves off to the east and low pressure forms to our
west/northwest. This will allow southerly flow to gradually take
over. After highs Saturday in the mid and upper 30s, readings
Saturday night will probably not drop off much, and will likely
even begin to rise some late at night as cloud cover increases
from the north.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Dec 8 2016

Medium confidence in the extended.

The main weather features in the extended are a couple of cold
fronts poised to move through the region and cold temperatures late
in the period.

First of all Sunday we will warm sector bringing some relief front
the cold temperatures. However a cold front will arrive late
Sunday...bringing cold temperatures back to the region. As this
system moves through there will be a good chance of rain possibly
mixing with snow or sleet but with little impact if any. The next
system will arrive Tuesday into wednesday bringing another shot at
some wintry precipitation. In contrast...the weekend system will
scour out most of the available moisture again making impacts with
the mid week system minimal at best. However it will bring an arctic
blast of cold air. This will put us back into the teens for
overnight lows and struggle to rise above freezing for highs late in
the week.
Medium confidence in the extended.

The main weather features in the extended are a couple of cold
fronts poised to move through the region and cold temperatures late
in the period.

First of all Sunday we will warm sector bringing some relief front
the cold temperatures. However a cold front will arrive late
Sunday...bringing cold temperatures back to the region. As this
system moves through there will be a good chance of rain possibly
mixing with snow or sleet but with little impact if any. The next
system will arrive Tuesday into wednesday bringing another shot at
some wintry precipitation. In contrast...the weekend system will
scour out most of the available moisture again making impacts with
the mid week system minimal at best. However it will bring an arctic
blast of cold air. This will put us back into the teens for
overnight lows and struggle to rise above freezing for highs late in
the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 602 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

NW winds will increase to around 12 kts with higher gusts
17-22kts 14-16z. Otherwise, high pressure moving slowly se toward
the region will ensure VFR conditions through the TAF period.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...GM
SHORT TERM...GM
LONG TERM...KH
AVIATION...DB



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