Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Birmngham AL
931 AM CDT Thu Feb 8 2018

... DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVE SIGNIFICANTLY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA ...

SYNOPSIS...The latest U.S. Drought Monitor indicates that drought
conditions have improved significantly in Central Alabama. Extreme
Drought is no longer indicated in Central Alabama. Severe Drought
now extends from Tuscaloosa and southeast Fayette counties east-
northeast to Cherokee, Etowah and northern Cahoun counties, and in
the southeast sections from southern Montgomery, southern Macon and
Russell counties southward. Elsewhere Moderate Drought is found
across most of Central Alabama except for northwest Marion County,
and from eastern Dallas and northern Lowndes counties east-northeast
to southern Randolph and Chambers counties which are indicated to be
abnormally dry.

The Drought Monitor classifies drought within one of these five
categories:

D0...Abnormally Dry
D1...Moderate Drought
D2...Severe Drought
D3...Extreme Drought
D4...Exceptional Drought

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

Cold fronts brought significant rainfall to the area Tuesday night
and Wednesday...and also over the weekend...and provided some needed
relief to the drought conditions in Central Alabama. As a result,
most locations have returned to near normal rainfall for the year.
Cumulative rainfall during the past week averaged three to five
inches over much of Central Alabama...although totals of one to
three inches were more prevalent in the extreme southeast sections.
This has signficantly improved drought conditions over much of
Central Alabama at least temporarily.

Some precipitation amounts (inches) for Central Alabama from January
1st through February 7th...

Birmingham   5.44
Montgomery   6.62
Anniston     5.95
Tuscaloosa   6.94
Calera       6.69
Troy         1.95

Normal Precipitation expected (inches) and Departure from Normal
(inches) January 1st through February 7th...

Birmingham   5.96  -0.52
Montgomery   5.97  +0.65
Anniston     5.75  +0.20
Tuscaloosa   6.62  +0.32
Calera       6.77  -0.08
Troy         5.63  -3.68

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

There are not any known widespread acrigultural problems at this
time due to the current drought conditions. However if the current
drought conditions persist or worsen agricultural concerns could
arise as we head through the winter and spring seasons.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

The Fire Danger Risk is generally low across Central Alabama at this
time with Keetch-Byram Drought Indices (KBDI) currently running at
100 or below across most of the area...although values to around 200
are still indicated in some of the extreme southern areas. Values
above 500 indicate a Severe Fire Danger.

Despite the fact that there are currently no burn bans issued by the
Alabama Forestry Commission, the State Forester continues to urge
people that are doing any outside burning to follow safety
precautions such as not leaving any fire unattended and having the
proper equipment and personnel to control the fire.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

The latest USGS Stream Gauge Data indicates that stream flows are
currently running above normal across much of Central Alabama
following the recent heavy rainfall.  Periodic rainfall will be
needed for stream flows to remain near normal or above normal levels
as we continue through the winter season into spring.

Most of the major reservoir pool levels are near their normal winter
pool levels and have remained fairly steady or risen slightly during
the past week. A few reservoirs have been raised a little above
their normal winter pool levels by operators to facilitate filling
them later this spring should the drought persist or worsen. Listed
below are current levels for some of the major reservoirs across
Central Alabama and those from February 1st.

RESERVOIR            LEVEL FOR 02/08/18     LEVEL FOR 02/01/18

Weiss                       561.0                   560.5
Neely Henry                 506.9                   506.9
Logan Martin                462.1                   461.7
Lay                         395.7                   395.8
Mitchell                    311.7                   311.8
Jordan                      251.6                   251.6
R.L. Harris                 786.8                   786.8
Martin                      483.5                   482.9
Smith                       498.4                   496.1
Bankhead                    254.4                   254.9
Holt                        186.2                   186.6

SOCIAL IMPACTS...

Reservoir levels are near their winter pool levels in most
locations...although some have risen a little following the recent
heavy rainfall. There are no known mandatory water restrictions
currently in effect. However normal water conservation methods are
encouraged to be followed in the event that the drought conditions
persist or worsen during the next few weekds.

PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

A high pressure system over the area is bringing dry weather to the
area today...and this should continue into Friday. However the dry
weather will be short-lived as a moist southwesterly flow pattern is
forecast to develop by Saturday and persist into the first half of
next week.  This will allow for an unsettled weather pattern with
periodic bouts of rainfall across the area from Saturday into mid
week next week. At this time cumulative rainfall totals of two to
four inches appear likely across much of Central Alabama by next
Thursday.

The Two Week Outlook...from February 13th through February
21st...calls for above normal temperatures and above normal
precipitation chances transitioning to below normal chances.

The Longer-Range Outlook for the remainder of February through April
is for above normal temperatures and near to below normal
precipitation.

The latest Seasonal Drought Outlook through April indicates that
drought conditions are expected to persist across much of Central
Alabama.

UPDATE STATEMENT...

The mext statement will be issued around Thursday February 15th.



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