Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 281958
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1258 PM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1216 PDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER
THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SHRINK THE MARINE
LAYER WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DENSE FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING OVER THE SPILL SITE. THE TIMING AND COVERAGE OF PATCHY LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG IS LOWER CERTAINTY...WITH A CHANCE THAT THE ARRIVAL
COULD BE DELAYED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LOW
CLOUDS WILL STAY EAST OF THE SITE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY LIGHT...SHIFTING FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING TO
SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY MORNING AND BACK TO THE WEST BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES AT THE SITE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT...IN THE LOWER 50S AT NIGHT AND IN THE UPPER 60S TO
NEAR 70 DURING EACH AFTERNOON. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. SIMILAR LOW CLOUD COVERAGE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY
MORNING.

AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL CAUSE THE RIDGE TO SHIFT
EASTWARD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE THE MARINE LAYER TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE IN DEPTH AGAIN...WITH ONSHORE WINDS INCREASING
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING HOURS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SUNDAY
EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 10-15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH ON MONDAY. THE WINDS WILL CAUSE
BUILDING WIND WAVES AND A MODERATE INCREASE IN SHORTER PERIOD
WESTERLY SWELL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND FOG DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 91-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    TO NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SWELL HEIGHT/ PD....SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET AT 15 SECONDS.
SWELL2 HEIGHT/ PD...SOUTH SWELL 1 FOOT AT 18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FOOT OR LESS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EARLY...OTHERWISE
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-68.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    6-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SWELL HEIGHT/ PD....SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET AT 15 SECONDS.
SWELL2 HEIGHT/ PD...SOUTH SWELL 1 FOOT AT 16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FOOT OR LESS.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.02/LOX


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