Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS48 KWNS 290856
SWOD48
SPC AC 290855

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL DURING
THE EARLY/MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE NEARBY UPPER MIDWEST. THIS
WILL BE AS TROUGH AMPLIFICATION OCCURS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS...WITH
A RELATED INCREASE OF CYCLONIC WESTERLIES OVER THE ROCKIES AND
ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...AND AS SOMEWHAT RICHER MOISTURE GRADUALLY
DEVELOPS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH MID-WEEK. WHILE SOME
GUIDANCE VARIABILITY/MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR CURRENTLY PRECLUDE
OUTLOOK DELINEATIONS...MULTIPLE CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISKS APPEAR
PLAUSIBLE ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION INTO MID-WEEK. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT DAYS 5/6 TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY DAY
7/THURSDAY WILL OFFER THE MOST ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL.
ELSEWHERE...OTHER PULSE-TYPE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES ALONG/SOUTH OF A RESIDUAL
FRONT.

..GUYER.. 05/29/2015



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