Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS48 KWNS 260814
SWOD48
SPC AC 260813

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

VALID 291200Z - 031200Z

...DISCUSSION...
IN THE MEAN...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN IS ANTICIPATED TO DOMINATE
THE PERIOD CONSISTING OF A TROUGH EAST/RIDGE NORTHWEST/CLOSED LOW
NEAR BAJA CA. INITIALLY TSTM PROSPECTS APPEAR NEGLIGIBLE. ON
D5-6/FRI-SAT...GENERAL TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER IN THE SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE SRN-STREAM CLOSED LOW. FARTHER
E DURING THIS TIME FRAME...RETURN FLOW FROM A MODIFYING AIR MASS
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD COMMENCE. HOWEVER...RUN-TO-RUN
CONTINUITY AND INTER-MODEL CONSISTENCY WANES SUBSTANTIALLY BEYOND
D6/SAT YIELDING LOW CONFIDENCE IN ASSESSING TSTM POTENTIAL OVER THE
GULF COAST STATES AND SOUTHEAST.

..GRAMS.. 01/26/2015



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