Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
ACUS01 KWNS 300100
SWODY1
SPC AC 300059

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SOUTH PLAINS/BIG COUNTRY OF
TX...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS PARTS OF NORTH/CENTRAL TX...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SOUTH NEB/N-CNTRL KS...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS PART OF TX BIG BEND...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS PART OF NORTHEAST OK/NORTHWEST
AR...

CORRECTED FOR DAY OF WEEK

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH PLAINS TO BIG COUNTRY OF NORTHWEST TEXAS.

...SOUTH PLAINS/BIG COUNTRY OF TX...
PRIMARY CORRIDOR OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL SHOULD EXIST
DOWNSTREAM OF A AN MCS OVER NORTHWEST TX. AN AGITATED CU FIELD IS
EVIDENT SOUTH OF THIS MCS ACROSS THE TX BIG COUNTRY. IT SEEMS
PLAUSIBLE THAT THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE MCS WILL PROPAGATE
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THIS CU FIELD WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR
SEVERE WIND/HAIL. FARTHER SOUTHWEST...STORMS HAVE DECAYED OVER THE
PAST COUPLE HOURS OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN. 00Z MIDLAND RAOB SAMPLED
LARGE MLCIN...WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION AMID
MINIMAL LARGE-SCALE ASCENT. GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGESTS THE EASTERN
EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK WILL BE LIMITED EARLY MONDAY THROUGH
ADVECTION OF DRY 850-MB AIR FROM EAST TX...WHICH WAS SAMPLED BY 00Z
LAKE CHARLES RAOB.

...SOUTH NEB TO NORTH-CENTRAL KS...
ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO AMID A
MODEST COMBINATION OF BUOYANCY/SHEAR PER AREA 00Z RAOBS. INGEST OF
CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED AIR ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN KS /AS SAMPLED BY
00Z DODGE CITY RAOB/ ALONG WITH BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING SHOULD RESULT
IN CONVECTION NOCTURNALLY WANING.

..GRAMS.. 05/30/2016

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.