Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS03 KWNS 260710
SWODY3
SPC AC 260709

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
WHILE ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED...A
FEW STRONGER STORMS COULD OCCUR ACROSS THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST ON
WEDNESDAY.

...CAROLINAS/SOUTHEAST STATES...
SOME GUIDANCE VARIABILITY EXISTS REGARDING THE EXACT
EVOLUTION/PLACEMENT OF THE PERSISTENT CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES/MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY...BUT IT SEEMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE
SETTLING SOUTH/SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE OH/TN RIVER VALLEYS TOWARD THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THIS ALSO RELATES TO SOME UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE LOCATION/MOVEMENT OF A FRONT AS IT POTENTIALLY STALLS
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES/CAROLINAS AND NEAR-COASTAL MID-ATLANTIC.
GIVEN THAT A RELATIVELY MOIST PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS MAY STILL BE
LOCATED AT LEAST ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS INTO EAST
GA/NORTH FL...AFTERNOON HEATING AND STRENGTHENING FORCING FOR
ASCENT/WINDS ALOFT COULD ACCOUNT FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON NEAR THE FRONT. WHILE THE AFOREMENTIONED FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES CURRENTLY PRECLUDE SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THE DAY 3
JUNCTURE...THIS WILL BE REEVALUATED IN FUTURE OUTLOOKS.

..GUYER.. 09/26/2016

$$


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