Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS03 KWNS 290823
SWODY3
SPC AC 290822

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY FROM SOUTHERN
ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO INTO SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS.

...SYNOPSIS...

SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST OVER THE U.S. SATURDAY WITH PRIMARY
BELT OF WLYS FROM THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. A CUTOFF
UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SEWD FROM THE SWRN STATES INTO NRN
MEXICO.

...SRN AZ THROUGH SWRN AND SCNTRL TX...

A SERIES OF VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL ROTATE AROUND THE LARGER CUTOFF
UPPER-LOW CIRCULATION INTO THE SWRN STATES. NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITHIN AN
ENVIRONMENT OF MODEST 6-6.5 MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK AOB 300
J/KG MUCAPE.

OTHER SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FARTHER
EAST FROM SWRN THROUGH CNTRL TX WITHIN DEVELOPING ZONE OF THETA-E
ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRENGTHENING
SLY LLJ. MODEST LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY SUGGEST COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN ISOLATED.

..DIAL.. 01/29/2015




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