Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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ILC001-005-009-013-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-133-135-149-157-
163-189-MOC007-019-027-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-
127-135-137-139-151-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-510-
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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
535 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL COULD BRING SIGNIFICANT FLOODING NEXT WEEK...

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND A SLOW MOVING SURFACE
FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH VERY MOIST AIR TO PRODUCE SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A WIDESPREAD THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN
ACROSS OUR REGION IS POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

WHILE RAINFALL OVER THIS WEEKEND IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE
PROBLEMS IN MOST AREAS...THE CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF FORECAST
RAINFALL THROUGH EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK COULD BE EXCESSIVE AND NOT
ONLY CREATE NEW FLOODING BUT ALSO ENHANCE ALREADY FORECAST
FLOODING...NOTABLY ON THE MISSOURI RIVER AS WELL AS SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS.

THESE EXTENDED RAINFALL FORECASTS ARE LIKELY TO CHANGE SOME...
NEVERTHELESS...THEY WARRANT CLOSE ATTENTION BY THOSE WHO LIVE NEAR
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...THE MISSOURI RIVER...AND ANY OTHER
FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

IN PARTICULAR...THE MISSOURI RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE BACK INTO
MINOR FLOOD LATE THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF THE PREDICTED RAINFALL
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK COMES TO PASS...THE MISSOURI RIVER
COULD RISE TO MODERATE OR EVEN MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS.

PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SUBSEQUENT FLOODING
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

$$

TES




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