Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FXAK69 PAFG 272348
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
248 PM AKST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS. DEEP COLD SHORT WAVE
OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WILL RETREAT EASTWARD WHILE LARGE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE WEST
COAST OF MAINLAND ALASKA BY EARLY THURSDAY WHILE A DEEP TROUGH
DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN ALASKA.

THE HIGH WILL ORIENT MORE OF A WEST TO EAST POSITION BY FRIDAY AND
THE CENTER OF THE HIGH WILL INFLUENCE MUCH OF NORTHERN ALASKA.

VERY COLD AIR WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN ALASKA FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEK BUT MODERATE SLIGHTLY EACH DAY. HOWEVER THE MODELS DIFFER
WIDELY IN THE MID RANGE.

STRONG WINDS AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ON THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST
WITH TROF JUST ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE ARCTIC COAST. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING. CURRENTLY...SNOWFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH IS CAUSING THE VISIBILITY TO FALL BELOW
ONE HALF MILES IN MANY LOCATIONS. WHEN THE SNOWFALL
DIMINISHES...THE VISIBILITY SHOULD GREATLY IMPROVE AS THE WINDS
WILL BE SUBSIDING AS WELL.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ213-AKZ215.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ204.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ203.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

$$

CF JAN 15


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