Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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FXUS65 KBOI 191007

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boise ID
407 AM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday night...One more mild and dry
day ahead of an approaching upper trough and cold front.
Southwest flow aloft will bring 20-30 mph winds to southeast
Oregon and higher terrain of southwest Idaho by this afternoon.
Easterly winds will funnel through the Snake Plain, the downslope
winds aiding in warming temperatures. Clouds increase through the
day with precipitation developing Thursday night across southeast
Oregon, spreading into southwest Idaho Friday morning. Strong
pre-frontal southwest flow will initially focus precipitation in
the mountains with rain filling in across lower elevations Friday
morning as the cold front passes. The heavier precipitation will
fall as snow levels drop from around 8k feet to around 6k feet
Friday morning, thus limiting snow accumulations to sites above
6k feet. By Friday afternoon snow levels are down to around 5k
feet, but additional accumulation will be localized as
precipitation scatters out. Westerly winds ramp up Friday with
speeds of 20-35 mph developing across open terrain during the
afternoon. Lower elevations dry out Friday night, with shower
coverage decreasing across the mountains as the upper trough exits
eastward. Will see a 15-20 degree drop in high temperatures from
today to Friday.

.LONG TERM...Saturday through Wednesday...With a large push of
moisture into the coast, combined with a surface warm front moving
south to north across the area, widespread precipitation is
expected on Saturday. Snow levels will rapidly rise to 8000 ft or
more. Model agreement is quite high, with the NAM being slightly
slower with the onset of precip. Nonetheless, the impacts are in
agreement. Lingering showers on Sunday in northern portions of the
CWA will give way to a ridge building in on Monday. Conditions
are expected to be dry Monday and beyond with temperatures near


.AVIATION...VFR. Southerly surface winds increasing ahead of cold
front moving through early Friday. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL:
Southwest 20-30 kts.





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