Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 281101
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
601 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW FOR THE 12Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING DUE TO CLOUDS AND PATCHY
FOG...ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME VFR BY MID MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY AND MOST OF TONIGHT BEFORE MVFR
CONDITIONS DVLP ONCE AGAIN TOWARD WED MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK. ANOTHER DAY OF HEAT INDICES RANGING
FROM 105 TO 109 ACROSS MUCH OF S TX IS EXPECTED. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY
BRIEFLY REACH 110 THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AS
THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND. MODELS PROG MID LEVEL TEMPS...AND THUS
SFC MX TEMPS...TO BE A DEGREE OR SO COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. MODELS
ALSO PROG A TAD MORE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE/CIRRUS ACROSS S TX TODAY
WHICH SHOULD ALSO KEEP MX TEMPS A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER. A TAD MORE
OVERALL MOISTURE ON WED SHOULD RESULT IN MX TEMPS BEING YET ANOTHER
DEGREE OR SO COOLER. WINDS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS THIS MORNING
ARE RANGING 15 TO 20KTS BUT SHOULD RELAX THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE MORNING WHILE WINDS ACROSS THE BAYS AND LAND AREAS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE S COASTAL BEND...ESPECIALLY BEHIND THE SEA BREEZE. WINDS
ARE PROGD TO BE A FEW KNOTS LESS ON WED.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST FRIDAY AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES REGION TO THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL SEND A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS FRIDAY AND STALL THROUGH
SATURDAY. HIGHER MOISTURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND AFFECT EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS
WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO DURING THIS PERIOD. EXPECT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND FOR HIGH TEMPS FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. BUT WITH HUMIDITY...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE
105-109 DEGREE RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. BACK TO HOT AND DRY FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    96  77  96  77  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          96  76  96  75  98  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO           105  79 104  78 103  /  10   0  10   0   0
ALICE             99  77  99  75 100  /  10   0  10   0  10
ROCKPORT          91  81  92  78  93  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA          103  76 102  75 102  /  10   0  10   0   0
KINGSVILLE        99  77  98  75  98  /  10   0  10   0  10
NAVY CORPUS       90  80  90  78  91  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TE/81...AVIATION


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