Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KEWX 272347
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
647 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HOURLY DEWPOINT GRIDS. DEWPOINTS IN
THE 30S REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...BUT THESE VALUES
SHOULD SLOWLY RISE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS WERE NEEDED TO THE FORECAST.

HAMPSHIRE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 619 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR 00Z AVIATION BELOW.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. WINDS DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 KTS OR LESS THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. SW TO SE WIND DEVELOPING AND INCREASING TO 12-15 KTS
15Z-18Z...A FEW GUSTS AROUND 25 KTS POSSIBLE SAT AFTERNOON AT
AUS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
PLEASANT WEEKEND WEATHER IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT
LEAVING BRISK MORNING LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. AN AMPLIFIED
RIDGING PATTERN ALOFT OVER THE ROCKIES WILL PRODUCE MORE WARM
AFTERNOONS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WITH THE WARMING TRENDS BEING
HELPED BY SWRLY LOW LEVEL WINDS. WINDS SHOULD AGAIN BE MOSTLY
DECOUPLED SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THE GRADUALLY INCREASING SOUTHERLY
FLOW SHOULD LEAD TO WARMER DEWPOINTS AND LESS COOLING IN THE
VALLEYS OF THE HILL COUNTRY FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
SKIES SHOULD AGAIN BE MOSTLY SUNNY FOR THE MOST PART SUNDAY...WITH
SOME INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS POSSIBLE. SUNDAY NIGHT...THE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CATCHES UP...AND SOME MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND
PATCHY SPRINKLES ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY MORNING. MODELS CONTINUE
TO SHOW GOOD CONSISTENCY AND GROUPING FOR A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER
TROUGH TO PASS DIRECTLY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL TX TO ENHANCE RAIN
CHANCES FOR TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE TRACK...THERE
COULD BE A POTENTIAL FOR SOME SPRING HAIL...BUT THE WEAKNESS OF
THE UPPER PATTERN DOES NOT LEND TO US BEING WORRIED ABOUT STRONG
STORM HAZARDS AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER WARM AFTERNOON SHOULD FOLLOW
IN THE WAKE OF THE DISTURBANCE WEDNESDAY...WITH THURSDAY ALSO
LIKELY TO SEE TEMPS NEAR OR ABOVE EARLY SPRING NORMALS. ANOTHER
WEAK TO MODERATE COLD FRONT IS DEPICTED FOR NEXT FRIDAY
MORNING...WITH THE ECMWF LOOKING SLIGHTLY STRONGER WITH THE
SURFACE RIDGE THAN THE GFS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              55  82  58  84  62 /   0   0   0   0  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  45  80  54  83  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     47  81  54  82  59 /   0   0   0   0  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            50  81  56  82  59 /   0   0   0   0  -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           50  87  57  88  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        50  80  57  81  61 /   0   0   0   0  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             45  83  53  85  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        46  81  54  82  60 /   0   0   0   0  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   51  81  56  82  62 /   0   0   0   0  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       52  82  55  82  61 /   0   0   0   0  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           50  83  55  83  60 /   0   0   0   0  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...76
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...29
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...00


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.