Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 060016
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
616 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...FOR 00Z TAF PACKAGE...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR ALL TERMINALS. ONLY MINOR AVIATION
CONCERN IS THE WINDS IN KAUS ARE STILL GUSTY BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ONLY LINE CHANGE IN THE TAF
INCLUDED THE WINDS SUBSIDING TO BELOW 11KT. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER
CONCERNS IN THE FORECAST.

TB3

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION AS DRY AIR IN THE LOW-
LEVELS CONTINUES TO FILTER IN FROM THE NORTH. SKIES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN CLEAR OR MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT AS WINDS GRADUALLY
DECREASE. WITH DRY AIR AND DECREASING WINDS...OVERNIGHT LOW
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT. A
FREEZE IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH A
RECORD LOW IN JEOPARDY AT AUSTIN-BERGSTROM. PLEASE SEE THE BELOW
CLIMATE SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. DRY AND COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY WITH A SLIGHT UPTICK IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER
IN STORE.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
CLOUD COVER CONTINUES TO INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST BEGINNING SATURDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES HAVE INCREASED
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST GFS GUIDANCE AND WE HAVE ALSO INCREASED
RAIN CHANCES SLIGHTLY FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED PERIOD. A
REINFORCING SHOT OF ENERGY DIVES INTO THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK AND THIS WILL MAINTAIN A BROAD TROUGH WEST OF THE
REGION. FOR NOW...WE/LL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST...BUT COULD SEE LATER MODEL RUNS TRENDING WETTER IN
THIS PATTERN.

CLIMATE...
RECORD LOWS FOR MARCH 6TH...

AUSTIN BERGSTROM....28 IN 2011
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY...25 IN 1901
DEL RIO.............28 IN 1954
SAN ANTONIO.........24 IN 1966

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              45  27  51  34  53 /  10   0   0   0  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  44  24  50  33  53 /  10   0   0   0  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     46  27  50  36  55 /  10   0   0   0  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            39  24  48  31  52 /  10   0   0   0  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           46  29  50  38  58 /  10   0   0   0  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        42  24  49  31  53 /  10   0   0   0  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             46  26  52  38  57 /  10   0   0   0  10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        45  26  51  34  53 /  10   0   0   0  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   44  27  50  36  54 /  30   0  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       46  28  51  37  55 /  10   0   0   0  10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           46  28  51  39  56 /  10   0   0   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...03
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...00


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