Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 301322
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
922 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.UPDATE...

LOW IS OFF THE EAST COAST THIS MORNING...WITH A COOL FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHWEST FROM IT. CURRENT PLACEMENT OF THE BOUNDARY IS
NEAR A LINE FROM SGJ TO GNV. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
SLIDE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS/STORMS. THEREFORE...MAINTAINING THE FLOOD WATCH. IN
ADDITION...ENERGY PIVOTING AROUND THE LOW ITSELF WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING BANDS OF SHOWERS TO THE COAST.

DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...SO ADJUSTMENTS TO INCREASE CLOUD COVER
AND LOWER MAX TEMPS WILL BE MADE.

&&

.AVIATION...

DEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS APPARENT IN THE MORNING SOUNDING...AND
LITTLE ERODING OF THE STRATUS IS TAKING PLACE. HAVE UPDATED
TERMINAL FORECASTS TO CONTINUE LOW STRATUS INTO THE AFTERNOON...WHEN
DRIER AIR SHOULD HELP TO MIX OUT THIS LAYER.

&&

.MARINE...

AN INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND A DEPARTING LOW WILL RESULT
IN ENHANCED WIND SPEEDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY. THEREFORE AN
EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINE HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE GOING FORECAST.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK TODAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  82  66  87  68 /   0  10  10  10
SSI  80  71  82  71 /  40  10  10  10
JAX  82  69  85  70 /  40  20  20  20
SGJ  81  72  84  72 /  50  30  40  30
GNV  83  69  86  68 /  50  30  50  40
OCF  84  70  87  70 /  60  40  60  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FLAGLER-MARION-
     PUTNAM-ST JOHNS.

GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

STRUBLE





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