Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 260742
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
242 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Nearly zonal flow aloft and surface winds gradually shifting
around the dial are expected today as surface high pressure slides
eastward into the Carolinas. With much drier conditions expected
(dewpoints in the 20s or 30s over most of the area) and high
temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s, a pleasant Sunday is
expected. Onshore flow returns on Monday and mid to upper level
flow shifts southwesterly. Moisture returns as do warmer
temperatures with highs near 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Warm front will lift North of the region Monday night with scattered
showers, with the region in warm sector for Tuesday and Wednesday,
ahead of an approaching cold front. Temperatures are expected to be
well above normal Tuesday into Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM.../WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

Cold front will slide Southeast across the region Wednesday night
into Thursday. The best dynamics and support for convection will be
to the North, but could not rule out potential for storms ahead of
and along boundary. High pressure will build to the Northwest
Friday, then to the North on Saturday, with cold advection resulting
in below normal Temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected this period. Northwest winds around
10kts with some occasional gusts near 15kts are expected this
morning and early afternoon. Winds will go around the dial and end
up more easterly by tomorrow morning. Southerly flow with SCEC
winds possible on Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...

Small Craft Advisory conditions will gradually subside this
morning as both seas and northerly winds relax. Small Craft could
still need to exercise caution in the far southeastern portions of
the Florida waters today. Onshore flow will return on Monday as
high pressure slides eastward along the Carolina coast. A warm
front will bring a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms
Monday afternoon and evening. Quiet weather and seas are expected
through Wednesday.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk for Rip Currents at Northeast Florida
beaches today, and for both Southeast Georgia and Northeast
Florida beaches on Monday.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RH levels are expected to be well below critical levels Today,
leading to elevated fire weather conditions.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  66  44  77  60 /   0   0  20  20
SSI  61  55  71  63 /   0   0  20  30
JAX  68  52  77  63 /   0   0  10  20
SGJ  66  58  76  64 /   0   0  20  20
GNV  72  50  80  62 /   0   0  30  20
OCF  74  52  81  62 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Coastal
     waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
     Beach FL out 20 NM-Waters from Altamaha Sound GA to
     Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Fernandina
     Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from St.
     Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Struble/Elsenheimer/McGinnis


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