Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 212208

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
208 PM PST Tue Nov 21 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Warming trend tonight through Wednesday with dry
conditions across the region. A couple brief periods of light
rain are possible over northern NV Thursday on through the
weekend, with temperatures remaining well above normal.


.SHORT TERM...This afternoon through Friday. Partly to mostly
cloudy skies across the region this afternoon with light rain
over far northern NV ending as high pressure builds up from the
south. Clouds should clear out across most of central NV tonight,
and scatter out across northern NV with dry conditions across the
region tonight through at least Thursday morning. The building
ridge will result in much warmer temperatures over the coming

Models have been changing slightly with respect to how trough
energy pushes into the Pacific NW Thursday on through the weekend.
The recent trend has been showing the NW trough riding in over
the top of the ridge that dominates the southwestern US. The
result of which suppresses the northern most portion of the
ridge, allowing a few brief periods of light rain to spread in
across northern NV. The first potential period of light rain is
on Thanksgiving Day, which lingers across far northern NV into
early Friday. Have increased clouds and trended POPs ups slightly
for this timeframe. Dry and warm on Friday afternoon with another
slight upward push to the ridge over the southwestern US.

.LONG TERM...Friday night through next Tuesday. Strong high
pressure will finally get ousted by one of two approaching
systems for the weekend. The first system will be weak and only
skirt across the far northwestern portions of NV Saturday morning
and early afternoon with light precipitation expected. The next
system will be stronger and moves in Sunday night, continuing into
Monday. The northern areas will again be favored by this system
though the models continue to show a disagreement as to how far
south the moisture pushes. Due to the amount of warm air ahead of
this system, expect most of the precipitation to fall as rain
with only the highest peaks seeing any additional snow. The bigger
impacts with this system for Sunday will be the winds. Strongest
winds will be across Humboldt county Sunday afternoon with gusts
30-40 mph.

Exceptionally warm temperatures continue into the weekend with the
warmest day being Saturday. Some locations in the western half of
the state could reach record high temperatures. By Tuesday
temperatures will come closer to normal.


.AVIATION...High clouds will continue across all terminals this
afternoon with general clearing this evening. Some mid clouds
remain across KEKO and KELY this afternoon but will also clear
tonight.VFR conditions are expected at all terminals for the next
24 hours as high pressure builds across the region.





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