Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 311935
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
235 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Friday
Well, it`s not much, but it`s a start. Cold front currently over
far northwest-northern Arkansas will continue to sink into the
region over the next 24 hours. Scattered showers/storms will be
possible behind the boundary, as an upper level system moves
through and interacts with it. Greatest coverage will be in the
northwest and west.

Rain chances will decrease Thursday night, as the front moves
south of Arkansas and gets absorbed in the circulation of Tropical
Storm Hermine.

Surge of cooler air will really be felt on Thursday and Friday, as
highs will mostly be in the 80s on Thursday and lows could fall
into the 50s in the northwest and 60s elsewhere Thursday Night.
Friday highs will only be in the 70s to mid 80s as autumn decides
to briefly taunt us before things warm up by late in the weekend.
&&

.LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Tuesday
Friday night will be relatively cool...with lows dipping into the
low to mid 50s up north and the low 60s elsewhere as high pressure
builds into the region in the wake of a cold front that moved
through on Thursday. If you believe some guidance...places near
Harrison may even drop into the 40s Friday night...but that is by
far the cold outlier so did not go that low in the forecast.

Below normal temperatures will continue on Saturday before a warmup
occurs on Sunday and into the first half of next week. But by late
Sunday return flow will begin to set back up across the region as
high pressure builds overhead/east of Arkansas Sunday evening into
next week. Temperatures will respond accordingly...with highs going
from the low to mid 50s on Saturday...back to the upper 80s to low
90s Sunday onward. Rain chances will remain low overall...with some
slight chances for showers and thunderstorms returning to the
forecast each afternoon from Monday onward as moisture levels
rebound.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No significant fire weather issues are expected through the
period. Minimum humidities in most areas are likely to remain
above 50 percent.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     71  83  63  80 /  20  10   0   0
Camden AR         74  90  68  85 /  10  30  10   0
Harrison AR       67  80  59  77 /  20  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    73  85  67  82 /  20  30  10   0
Little Rock   AR  75  87  67  83 /  20  20  10   0
Monticello AR     75  91  69  84 /  10  20  10   0
Mount Ida AR      72  84  65  82 /  20  40  10   0
Mountain Home AR  69  83  61  79 /  20  10   0   0
Newport AR        72  84  63  80 /  20  20   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     73  88  67  82 /  10  20  10   0
Russellville AR   73  86  65  82 /  20  20  10   0
Searcy AR         73  85  64  81 /  20  20   0   0
Stuttgart AR      73  86  65  81 /  20  20  10   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...57 / Long Term...64


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