Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 211333
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
933 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE CENTERED JUST OFFSHORE OF THE OUTER
BANKS OF THE NC COAST WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST TODAY. A WEAK
FRONT EXTENDS SW FROM THIS LOW ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA...ROUGHLY
FROM MELBOURNE TO TAMPA...AND THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. DEEPER MOISTURE SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY
WILL LEAD TO BEST RAIN CHANCES SOUTH OF ORLANDO THIS AFTERNOON.
HAVE INCREASED POPS TO AROUND 60 PERCENT ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY
AND TREASURE COAST AREA WHERE GREATEST MOISTURE EXISTS. FARTHER
NORTH OF ORLANDO ACROSS LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WILL MAINTAIN
RAIN CHANCES AROUND 20 PERCENT. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
80S OVER THE INTERIOR TO MID 80S ALONG THE COAST AND TOWARD LAKE
OKEECHOBEE WHERE GREATER CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...PATCHY FOG/STRATUS ACROSS THE REGION PRODUCING
IFR/MVFR CONDS WILL BURN OFF COMPLETELY BETWEEN 14-15Z. BEST
CHANCE FOR TEMPO IFR/MVFR CONDS FROM SCT SHRA/TSRA INTO THE AFT
WILL OCCUR SOUTH OF KMCO TODAY.


&&

.MARINE...
TODAY/TONIGHT...(PREVIOUS DISCUSSION) A GENTLE TO MODERATE
OFFSHORE (NW-WRLY) BREEZE WILL SLACKEN...ALLOWING FOR ONSHORE
COASTAL SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SLACKEN
FURTHER TONIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE REBUILDS JUST TO OUR
EAST. SEAS GENERALLY 3-4FT TODAY...SUBSIDING TO 2-3FT LATE
TONIGHT.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

WEITLICH/PENDERGRAST






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