Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 260145 AAA
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
845 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...

...Vero Beach Breaks Record High for the Day...
...Cooler Sunday Behind Front...

Current...Cool front pushing SE into north Florida this evening,
roughly from CHS to CTY. The forecast timing of the fropa and wind
shift over EC FL looks good and no significant changes have been
made to forecast temps or winds. High-based stratocu along the
Treasure coast this evening will push offshore but could linger over
coastal Martin county much of the night. No rain is expected.

Tonight...Diurnal clouds will dissipate for the most part post-
sunset, leading to mostly clear skies. Increasing boundary layer
flow will preclude fog formation tonight, with the frontal wind
shift and probably a modest (at best) increase in low-mid clouds
reaching the northern CWA around midnight, Melbourne-Lake Kissimmee
by 300 AM and Tequesta-central Lake Okeechobee between 500-600 AM.
CAA ushered in by the post-frontal northerly wind surge will drop
temps through the 50s over all but the SE CWA, where some L60s will
hang on. L50s should be confined from about I-4 northward.

Sunday...Sunny across most of the CWA with some lingering moisture
indicated over the far SE CWA possibly leading to partly cloudy
skies there. Highs ranging from the U60s Volusia coast to U70s south
interior under NE winds of around 15 MPH and gusty, especially near
the Atlantic coast.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR. LCL-AREAS SCT025-035 assocd with frontal passage.

&&

.MARINE...
No significant changes to current coastal waters forecast.
Tonight/Sunday...Cold front and associated northerly wind surge (18-
22KT) will push south down the waters overnight and veer to NE on
Sunday. The current orientation of N-S staggered start times for the
advisory still look good for late tonight/early Sunday morning. SCEC
will be in place south of Sebastian Inlet tonight, prior to the
onset of the SCA early 2nd period (Sunday morning).


&&

.CLIMATE...
Vero Beach reached 87F this afternoon, breaking their record high of
86 set in 2013. Not as warm Sunday behind a cool front and a breezy
north to northeast wind.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  53  68  60  78 /   0   0   0  20
MCO  56  74  60  83 /   0   0   0  20
MLB  60  73  64  80 /   0   0  10  20
VRB  62  75  65  81 /  10  10  20  20
LEE  52  74  57  82 /   0   0   0  20
SFB  54  73  59  82 /   0   0   0  20
ORL  56  74  60  83 /   0   0   0  20
FPR  61  76  65  80 /  10  10  20  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Sunday for Flagler
     Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach
     to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 AM EST Sunday for Volusia-
     Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-
     Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday for
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

$$

Kelly/Sedlock


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