Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 271331

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
931 AM EDT Mon Mar 27 2017


...High Risk of Rip Currents Continue in the Surf Zone Today...

Today...High pressure ridge to our north is weakening and the axis
will slide into central Florida tonight.  This will continue to ease
the onshore gradient wind flow.  Morning precipitable water from the
Cape Canaveral sounding continued quite low at 0.89 inches.
Satellite was showing a few Atlantic convergence lines south of
Canaveral and radar was picking up weak echoes.  MOS had some low
POPs on the Treasure Coast and the HRRR model supports slight shower
chances, so have added a small morning coastal rain chance there.


VFR today. Patchy MVFR VSBYs possible late tonight.


Today/Tonight...High pressure ridge extending from offshore the
Carolina coast to north FL will settle into the waters tonight while
weakening. This will produce a light E wind flow of 5-10 knots
across the north and around 10 knots south. The primary contribution
to wave height will be persistent east swells.  Recent buoy data
shows seas are below 6 feet though.  Wave guidance looks too high,
but since it hangs onto the elevated values into Tue night, will
wait until the afternoon forecast package to make sure the downward
trend on seas continues.





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