Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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000
FXUS65 KPIH 020905
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
305 AM MDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.
SHORT WAVE WORKING INTO SOUTHEAST IDAHO THIS MORNING AND HOLDING
TOGETHER BETTER THAN MODELS SHOWING. COULD SEE SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING MAINLY IN EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY AND
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY IN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. WILL HAVE
SIMILAR SCENARIO SUNDAY WITH MOST SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. EXPECT MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY MONDAY
AS UPPER LOW MOVES NORTH INTO CENTRAL NEVADA WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTHEAST IDAHO. WILL HAVE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND
SUNDAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS IN THE 90S WITH MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS
IN THE MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION MONDAY.
GK

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
BOTH GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS KEEP WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GOING TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS UPPER
TROF SLOW TO PUSH THROUGH EASTERN IDAHO. MAY SEE A BIT OF A BREAD
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BUT MODELS AT LEAST KEEP SOME CHANCES OF
CONVECTION GOING THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEK.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...THE MONSOON MOISTURE FLOW CONTINUES TODAY. SCT MTN TSTMS
AND ISOLD VALLEY TSTMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTN AND CONTINUE INTO THE
EVE. ISOLD TSTMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING IN THE MTNS. BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WITH TSTMS. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. HEDGES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THE MONSOON MOISTURE FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VALLEYS. BEST CHANCES WILL BE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON
MONDAY. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM AND HUMIDITY LOW THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BUT NEXT WEEK WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY AS THE
PERSISTENT UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN. HEDGES

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$







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