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000
FXUS62 KTBW 091314
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
914 AM EDT SUN MAR 9 2014

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE IS IN FIRM CONTROL OF THE AREAS WEATHER THIS MORNING.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND THIS SHOULD LIFT QUICKLY
WITH SUNNY SKIES DEVELOPING IN ALL AREAS BETWEEN 10 AND 11 AM.
UPSTREAM OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...SOME CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AND
ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO HOLD TOGETHER AS IT PUSHES
INTO THE DEEP LAYER RIDGING ACROSS THE PENINSULA...THERE WILL LIKELY
BE SOME SCATTERED MID AND HIGH CLOUD DRIFTING INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. FURTHER SOUTH...NOT
AS MUCH MID/HIGH CLOUD IS EXPECTED BUT THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME
SHALLOW CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. AS A
RESULT...WILL SHOW SKIES BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN ALL AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN THE MID
70S NORTH...AND UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S CENTRAL AND SOUTH...WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
09/12Z-10/12Z: AREAS OF DENSE FOG...PROBABLY LESS THAN 500 FT
THICK OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS MORNING...TO BE GONE BY 14Z.
THEN VFR. HOWEVER...WILL EVALUATE FOG POTENTIAL FOR 18Z TAFS LATE
TONIGHT (AFT 09Z) EAST AND SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  75  58  76  60 /   0   0   0  10
FMY  81  59  82  62 /   0   0   0  10
GIF  79  57  80  59 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  74  56  75  58 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  77  48  78  52 /   0   0   0  10
SPG  74  61  75  64 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...JELSEMA
AVIATION...NOAH