Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 121355
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
855 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

.UPDATE...
Cold front will move across the region today accompanied by some
scattered to broken stratocumulus and breezy west to northwest
winds. The cooler air however will not arrive til tonight so
temperatures will still climb into the upper 60s to mid 70s,
pretty close to normal. Skies will clear tonight with winds
diminishing as high pressure builds in from the west with
temperatures dipping into the mid 30s north to upper 40s close the
coast from around Tampa Bay northward. Could see some patchy frost
over portions of the Nature Coast, but dew point depressions
should be large enough to preclude seeing much frost. Wednesday
should be mainly sunny and pleasant as the high pressure drifts
toward the Florida peninsula, but temperatures will only climb
into the upper 50s north to mid 60s south, or about 10 degrees
below normal. Overall the current grids/zone forecast look ok and
only tweaked temperatures up a degree or two for today.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected through tonight with some scattered to
broken stratocumulus today. Cold front will move across the region
during the day with southwest winds shifting to west northwest
and becoming gusty this afternoon. Winds will diminish after
sunset and veer around to the north overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Robust west to northwest winds will develop across the waters
today into tonight as a cold front moves through with Small Craft
Advisory conditions expected. High pressure builds over the area
Wednesday and Wednesday night with light winds and lower seas.
Present marine forecast looks on track with no major changes
planned for late morning forecast.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  73  45  62  50 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  75  48  66  47 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  73  42  62  42 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  73  47  63  50 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  73  37  61  42 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  72  50  61  53 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 10 AM EST this morning through
     this evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal
     Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to
     7 AM EST Wednesday for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs
     to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Englewood to
     Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST
     Wednesday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
     Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out
     20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs
     FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita
     Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...69/Close
UPPER AIR...27/Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...74/Wynn


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