Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 251001

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
300 AM MST Sat Mar 25 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions with milder temperatures and gusty winds
at times into early next week. We will see another cool-down with a
few showers possible around the middle of next week.


.DISCUSSION...The tail end of a weather system will pass through the
area today. Rain chances will remain north of southeast Arizona but
clouds will be on the increase from the west today. Otherwise, the
area will be in between systems Sunday before yet another system
passes through late Monday into early Wednesday. This second weather
system will drop far enough south to bring some showers Monday night
into early Wednesday, especially north and east of Tucson. Gusty
winds followed by cooler temperatures will also accompany this
system. Daytime temperatures will lower about 8 to 10 degrees on
Tuesday from those projected for Monday. Thereafter, latest medium
ranges models showed a stronger low pressure system impacting the
region around Friday into next weekend with another shot of rain and
cooler temperatures.


.AVIATION...Valid through 26/12Z.
CLR early then increasing mid to high level clouds, mainly above 15k
ft AGL thru 26/00Z. Vrbl sfc wind less than 12 kts thru 25/16Z, then
bcmg wly/nwly 12-20 kts with gusts around 25-30 kts late after
25/18z and contg thru 26/03z. Aviation discussion not updated for
TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...A series of weather systems will bring windy
conditions at times over the next 7 days. The strongest winds are
expected to be this afternoon, Tuesday and perhaps next Friday.

For this afternoon, brief Red Flag conditions are possible in a few
locations (mainly around southern portions of Fire Weather Zones 151
and 152, including southern portions of Cochise county), but are not
expected to be sustained or widespread enough to warrant a warning
at this time.

Otherwise, expect dry conditions through Monday night followed by a
chance of showers periodically Tuesday into next Friday, especially
north and east of Tucson.





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