Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
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000
FXXX12 KWNP 230031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2014 Jul 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels. New Region 2122 (S12E49,
Cao/beta) was numbered today. No notable flare activity occurred over
the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low with an increasing chance for
C-class flare activity (Below R1-Minor) over the next three days (23-25
Jul).


Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected
to be at normal levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux at
geosynchronous orbit is expected to remain at background levels (Below
S1-Minor) for the next three days (23-25 Jul).


Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind continued at nominal levels over the period. Solar wind
speeds increased from near 275 km/s to an average 345 km/s. Total field
averaged 5 nT with the Bz component variable mostly between -4 nT and +4
nT. The Phi angle remained in a predominately negative (toward)
orientation for most of the period.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain near nominal conditions for
the next two days (23-24 Jul). High speed stream effects are expected to
begin on day three (25 Jul) as CH74 is expected to be in a favorable
position to buffet Earth with elevated solar wind speeds.


Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next two
days (23-24 Jul). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on day three
(25 July) due to CH effects.



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