Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 101811
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...SOUTH TEXAS...
MOST RECENT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION AS TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE 80S /15-20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE/ AND RH VALUES FALL
TO 15-20 PERCENT. WINDS ARE CURRENTLY THE LIMITING FACTOR...WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS BELOW 15 MPH LIKELY.

..MOSIER.. 02/10/2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0315 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

...SYNOPSIS...
THE WESTERN RIDGE/EASTERN TROUGH SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO
D2/THU...REINFORCED BY ANOTHER STRONG TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST NEAR
HUDSON BAY.  AT THE SURFACE...A LOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF
OKLAHOMA TOWARD THE LOUISIANA GULF COAST THROUGHOUT THE
DAY...PROMOTING AREAS OF DOWNSLOPE/ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS.  FARTHER WEST...A WEAKENING HIGH OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WILL RESULT IN A WEAKER GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...YIELDING ONLY LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
IN DRY/TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS.

...SOUTH TEXAS...
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHERN PLAINS LOW APPROACHES THE
AREA...10-15 MPH SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
ELEVATED DELINEATION DURING THE AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL OCCUR ATOP
AREAS THAT HAVE BEEN MOSTLY DRY OVER THE PAST MONTH.  GIVEN THE DRY
FUELS ACROSS THE AREA...WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES /APPROACHING
80-85F/...AND 15-25 PERCENT AFTERNOON RH VALUES...AN ELEVATED
DELINEATION HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR THIS FORECAST.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$


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