Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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281
FNUS22 KWNS 100805
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
A low-amplitude upper trough will progress eastward from the
north-central CONUS to the Great Lakes region on Sunday, and strong
mid/upper-level winds will reside over much of the CONUS. At the
surface, a large area of weak low pressure initially over the
central Plains should consolidate and develop northeastward to the
lower Great Lakes by Sunday evening. A cold front attendant to the
surface low will move southward across the southern Plains. Surface
lee troughing will continue ahead of the front over parts of the
southern High Plains Sunday afternoon.

...Portions of the Southern High Plains...
Strong downslope winds around 20-30 mph may occur ahead of the
previously mentioned cold front Sunday afternoon across portions of
eastern NM and west TX. Warming/drying associated with these
westerly winds may allow for some RH reduction to near 20%,
particularly across far west TX. While locally elevated conditions
may be realized mainly across far west TX for a couple hours Sunday
afternoon, there is still uncertainty in the degree of RH reduction
in short-term guidance across this region. Will therefore defer
introduction of an elevated area pending additional model guidance.

..Gleason.. 12/10/2016

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$



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