Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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FNUS76 KMTR 012300
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOZER ACADEMY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
400 PM PDT SUN MAY 1 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER AND
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE BURN AREA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY IS HIGH. AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A RISK OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR WEDNESDAY IS
MODERATE...PLEASE CHECK THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS WE APPROACH
MID WEEK AS THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL MAY CHANGE AS WE
APPROACH WEDNESDAY.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTH AT 2 TO 4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 21 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LARRY
REQUESTED BY...HAROLD COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.DOZER.01/MTR


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