Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 061623
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1123 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT
ACROSS SOUTHWEST TO EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN.  SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING SOME LOCATIONS HAD 4 TO 7
INCHES OF RAIN WHILE MUCH OF THIS AREA HAD 1 TO 3 INCHES.
ALSO OVERNIGHT... SCATTERED AREAS ACROSS NORTHWEST TO CENTRAL
IOWA HAD 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  YESTERDAY
MORNING STORMS CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHWEST MINNESOTA TO NORTHEAST MINNESOTA... THESE
SCATTERED STRONGER STORMS AVERGED 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

IN THE FORECAST...THIS ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS OUR REGION.

THE RAINFALL FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS INCLUDES AROUND AN
INCH OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN
AND WISCONSIN... TO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND ACROSS IOWA TO
NORTHERN MISSOURI.  RAINFALL TOTALS AROUND A HALF INCH OR
LESS SURROUND THIS AREA ACROSS EAST CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST IOWA... AND OVER LOWER MICHIGAN AND
NORTHERN INDIANA TO ILLINOIS AND TO THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF
MISSOURI.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

AREA MAINSTEM RIVERS ARE ON RECESSION AFTER MODERATE TO MAJOR TO
RECORD FLOODING OCCURRED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS.  LEVELS
ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER REMAIN ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS FROM HAVANA
TO HARDIN.  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF THE CONFLUENCE
WITH THE ILLINOIS RIVER REMAINS ABOVE MODERATE LEVELS.

MORE RAIN EXPECTED THIS WEEK IS CURRENTLY TARGETING MISSOURI AND
ILLINOIS... WHERE THE MONTH OF JUNE SAW WIDESPREAD TWO TO TEN
INCHES ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL TOTALS... AND SEVERAL JUNE
PRECIPITATION RECORDS WERE BROKEN.  RAPID RISES MAY OCCUR ON THE
TRIBUTARIES TO THE MAINSTEM ILLINOIS AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS
ASSOCIATED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL.

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: MMZ RJW ALH RHR

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


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