Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FLUS44 KLZK 202317 AAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
517 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
517 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to slowly overspread much
of Arkansas from the west tonight. With high levels of moisture
in the atmosphere, and the tendency of storms to form and move
over the same areas, locally heavy rainfall is a concern tonight,
with flash flooding becoming possible. The main concern for flash
flooding overnight will be across the northwest half of the state.

Some thunderstorms this evening may briefly become strong or
possibly severe. This would be most likely in areas along and west
of the Interstate 30 and Highway 67 corridor. Any storm that
becomes severe will be capable of producing gusty winds in excess
of 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue on
Wednesday as a cold front slowly moves through. Several more
inches of rain will be possible from Little Rock to the north and
west through Wednesday, before the axis of heavy rainfall shifts
to the southeast Wednesday night into Thursday as the cold front
moves through.

Rainfall amounts through Thursday will range from two to three
inches across the southeast third of the state to in excess of
five inches across central and northwest sections of the state.
Some locally higher amounts cannot be ruled out in these areas. As
a result, the threat for flash and river flooding will increase
over time even with some areas across the northern and western
portion of the state in a drought at this time.

Additional heavy rainfall will return to the forecast by late
Thursday through next weekend as the front moves back to the
north. Additional rainfall amounts of two or more inches will be
possible across some portion of the state.

This will result in storm total rainfall amounts through the
weekend of three to five inches across the far southeast portion
of the state, and five to seven inches (with localized heavier
amounts) across a large portion of Arkansas further north and
west. As a result, the threat for widespread river and flash
flooding will continue to increase throughout the week and into
the weekend.

The front will finally move through the state Saturday but the
latest data is indicating that some severe weather could be
possible before the system exits the region.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Due to the low severe weather threat, spotter activation is not
anticipated at this time.


Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.



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