000
FLUS44 KLZK 281119
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
519 AM CST FRI FEB 28 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011130-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
519 AM CST FRI FEB 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WEAK SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE THIS MORNING...SPREADING
LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
ARE BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST HALF OF
THE STATE. AS SUCH...PRECIPITATION FALLING IN THOSE AREAS THROUGH
MID MORNING WILL LIKELY BE A MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND
RAIN FOR A FEW HOURS. BY MID TO LATE MORNING...TEMPERATURES SHOULD
WARM ENOUGH TO CONVERT PRECIPITATION TO ALL RAIN. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT SOME LIGHT GLAZING COULD OCCUR ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
SURFACES IN THE NORTH THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE TEMPERATURES
RISE ABOVE FREEZING AND ANY ICE IS MELTED. IMPACTS SHOULD BE SMALL
OVERALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A NOTABLY STRONGER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY.
THIS STORM HAS A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR A LOT OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET...AND SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.

MOST AREAS WILL START OFF AS RAIN...HOWEVER A STRONG COLD FRONT
WITH ARCTIC AIR BEHIND IT WILL BE SITUATED ACROSS NORTHERN
ARKANSAS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION IN THE FAR NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE STATE WILL LIKELY SEE WINTRY PRECIPITATION LAST THE
DURATION OF THE EVENT. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FRONT WILL BE
PUSHING SOUTH INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS...WITH THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN
ALL RAIN AND WINTRY PRECIPITATION MOVING SOUTH WITH IT.
PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTH SHOULD MOSTLY BE SLEET OR FREEZING
RAIN....AND A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH OF ICE AND SLEET
ACCUMULATION COULD OCCUR...WITH POSSIBLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A WINTER
STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS TO
HIGHLIGHT THIS POSSIBILITY. IT IS UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME JUST HOW
FAR SOUTH SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR. AS DETAILS
BECOME A LITTLE MORE CLEAR...AND THE EXPECTED AREAL EXTENT OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION BECOMES BETTER DEFINED...THERE MAY BE
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE AREAS COVERED BY WINTER WEATHER
WATCHES...WARNINGS...OR ADVISORIES.

LASTLY...SOUTH OF THE FRONT THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL ENHANCE THE HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBILITIES...AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES COULD
OCCUR OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.

INDIVIDUALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS FOR THE LATEST ON THE PENDING WINTER WEATHER AND
HEAVY RAIN EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$