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000
FNUS74 KMOB 271104
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 South...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
604 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 86 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Southerly winds and transport winds are expected
over and near the burn site through Sunday. Isolated rain showers
are possible near the burn site on Sunday as a tongue of moisture
air shifts toward the area.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1067-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 26 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 10 to 12 meters/second.
Dispersion index....67 increasing to 86 late in the morning.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........73     65     60     51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............77     83     84     84
RH..............69     55     51     49
20 FT wind dir..SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..14     15     16     16
20 FT wind gust.22     24     28     28
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   4700   4900   4400
Mix hgt (m).....1070   1430   1490   1340
Transp wind dir.SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
Transp wind spd.25     25     24     23
Trans wind dir..SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
Trans spd (m/s).11     11     11     10
Dispersion idx..67     82     85     77
LVORI...........1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 13 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 6 to 7
                    mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 22 mph decreasing to 12 to 14
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 5 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....77 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........40     24     13     9      9      25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............79     71     67     63     64     64
RH..............56     73     84     97     93     93
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..15     10     7      5      7      7
20 FT wind gust.24     17     13     8      10     13
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   500    500    500    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1340   150    150    150    120    120
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     ESE
Transp wind spd.22     14     12     13     13     13
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     ESE
Trans spd (m/s).10     6      5      6      6      6
Dispersion idx..77     11     9      6      7      9
LVORI...........1      3      5      7      6      6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 21 mph increasing to 21 to 26
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 8 to 12 meters/second.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 68 in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then decreasing to 58 late
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........51     56     55     61     63     59
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............64     70     77     81     83     82
RH..............97     87     71     63     57     56
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE
20 FT wind spd..9      13     15     16     16     16
20 FT wind gust.16     22     25     26     26     26
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2500   3600   3700   3600   3800
Mix hgt (m).....180    760    1100   1130   1100   1160
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
Transp wind spd.15     21     26     23     22     22
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
Trans spd (m/s).7      9      12     10     10     10
Dispersion idx..14     49     67     66     61     58
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412441.2/MOB
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov