Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 261048
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 447 448...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
548 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX BETWEEN 80-85 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather conditions are expected today and Saturday.
Southeasterly winds will increase through the weekend with gusts
between 20 and 30 mph possible. Dispersion index values will be
good today and Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog may be briefly
possible early this morning. Any patchy fog that develops should
lift by around 8 AM CDT.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 7 to 14 mph with
                    gusts around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 82.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  53  49  38  30  27  30  28  30  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  70  76  79  82  84  85  85  85  83
RH..............97  78  62  54  47  44  41  41  41  43
20 FT wind dir..SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   7   8   10  12  12  13  13  14  13
20 FT wind gust.7   12  14  16  18  18  20  20  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.3 2.3 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.2 5.1 4.6 4.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   13  15  17  18  20  20  20  20  20
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..9   23  44  62  75  81  82  81  77  77
LVORI...........6   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1402 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph shifting to the southeast 9
                    to 13 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....77 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37  36  42  53  59  63  69  63  61  68  72  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............81  76  72  71  68  67  67  66  66  65  65  65
RH..............47  58  66  71  84  90  90  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   7
20 FT wind gust.17  15  14  14  14  13  13  12  12  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE S   SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.20  16  14  14  15  14  14  13  13  13  9   13
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSE SSE S   SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).9   7   6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   4   6
Dispersion idx..77  10  11  12  12  11  11  10  9   8   7   8
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   4   5   5   6   7   7   7   7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph.
                    Gusts up to 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1615 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph increasing to 20 to 23
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 6 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 81.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73  75  71  64  63  67  65  63  58  53  48  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  65  67  72  76  79  82  83  83  84  84  82
RH..............93  93  87  73  66  60  55  51  49  48  46  47
20 FT wind dir..SE  ESE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   12  13  14  14  15  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.12  14  16  18  22  23  23  25  25  25  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.12  13  15  21  23  23  23  23  23  22  21  20
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).5   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9
Dispersion idx..8   13  32  52  59  66  70  72  72  81  76  76
LVORI...........7   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...21
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412490.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov


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