486
FNUS73 KMPX 141314
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Grey Eagle WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
814 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise to around 70 today and RH
will drop to 30-35 percent this afternoon. East winds around 10
mph expected throughout the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /40900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /62300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  65  67  68  69  69  68  67  63  60  57  54
RH..............43  40  39  37  36  36  36  37  44  49  55  59
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  15  15  15  15  14  14  14  15  14  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.9 4.8 4.7 3.9 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  14  14  15  15  14  12  13  15  15
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (60500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 68.
RH..................Min 50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Matt Mecklenburg
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414127.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matt.mecklenburg@state.mn.us