Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 180518
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1118 PM CST WED DEC 17 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

PLAN TO REMOVE THE LOW CHANCES OF RAIN FOR THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES
FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE COULD BE A FEW SPRINKLES AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT LOOKING AT THE MODELS I DON`T REALLY SEE ANYTHING
THAT WOULD RESULT IN MEASURABLE RAIN. WILL ALSO RE-EXAMINE
TEMPERATURES FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS MAY BE A CASE WHERE THE
LOWS OCCUR EARLY ON...AND TEMPS THEN BECOME FLAT OR RISE A FEW
DEGREES BEFORE SUNRISE.

WILL HAVE UPDATED FORECASTS OUT SHORTLY AFTER THE TOP OF THE
HOUR.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE MOVED INTO THE AREA. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
WILL REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF ALL SITES AS THE NEXT SYSTEM SLIDES
THROUGH. BEST CHANCES AT ANY TAF SITE SEEING ANY PRECIPITATION WOULD
BE TCL BETWEEN 18 AND 22Z...BUT THINKING IS THAT EVEN THAT WOULD
LIGHT AND LIKELY NOT MEASURE...SO WILL LEAVE OUT AT THIS TIME. WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







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