Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 281429
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1029 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND
INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED
HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE
THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD
ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM.

ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME
LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF
PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION
WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE
SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL
LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS
EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY
THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY
ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY
REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE
WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST
WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS



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