Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 241613 AAA
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1213 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY THEN SLIDE SOUTH OF
THE REGION FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN TO OUR
SOUTH ON SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1212 PM UPDATE...MUCH DRIER/COOLER ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE TODAY
WITH A HINT OF FALL IN THE AIR WITH A NOON TEMP/DEW POINT OF
64F/47F AT CARIBOU. STILL SOME SHOWERS DOWN EAST...MOST
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF WASHINGTON COUNTY. THE
LAST OF THE SHOWERS SHOULD MOVE OUT BY AROUND 3 PM...AND THE HRRR
HAS A VERY GOOD HANDLE ON THE SHOWERS AND THEIR MOVEMENT. MINOR
TWEAKS TO THE ONGOING FORECAST BASED ON THE NOON
OBSERVATIONS...RADAR TRENDS...AND NEAR TERM MODELS. DID LOWER
TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE WHERE THEY HAVE BEEN
SLOW TO RISE DESPITE SOME SUNSHINE...AND EVEN MORE SO ACROSS
WASHINGTON COUNTY DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST OF THE COAST LATER TODAY. MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR HAS
OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH DEW POINTS
ALREADY DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
MAINE EARLY THIS MORNING.

A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT EARLY
THIS MORNING IS CURRENTLY BRINGING SOME SHOWERS TO DOWNEAST MAINE. AS
THIS WAVE MOVES NORTHEAST THIS MORNING EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO END AS
THE COOLER AND DRIER AIR MAKES IT WAY ALL THE WAY TO THE COAST LATER
THIS MORNING.

OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TODAY WITH
CLOUDY SKIES GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS
BY THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST.

HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. EXPECT LOW TO MID
70S ACROSS THE NORTH AND UPPER 70S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST
ALONG WITH LESS HUMID CONDITIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST TONIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S
ACROSS CENTRAL AN DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINE WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER TROUGH ACROSS
QUEBEC.  SPOKES OF ENERGY MOVING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL
BRING SOME CLOUDS AND PERHAPS LIGHT SHOWERS TO THE SAINT JOHN RIVER
VALLEY ON SATURDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  A DRY SLOT OF AIR
WRAPS INTO NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR LESS CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR TODAY...EXPECT IFR/MFVF AT KBHB THIS MORNING.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THE VFR THIS AFTERNOON. ALL TERMINALS WILL
BE VFR TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE FORECAST AT ALL TAF
SITES.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS ARE RUNNING 3 TO 4 FT ON THE COASTAL WATERS
AND 2 TO 3 FT ON THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING...AND WILL
SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. THE VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 TO 3 NM
IN PATCHY FOG AND SHOWERS TODAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...CB/DUDA/OKULSKI
MARINE...CB/DUDA/OKULSKI






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