Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 050534
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1234 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED DRG THE TAF PERIOD.
LGT/VARIABLE WIND EARLY THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY WEAK N/NE FLOW BY
AFTERNOON THEN LGT EAST DRG THE EVENING/EARLY TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 908 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...ADJUSTED TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT GRIDS EARLIER
THIS EVENING...AND SENT OUT UPDATED GRIDDED PRODUCTS. OVERALL THE
FORECAST IS FINE FOR NOW. THUS...NO NEED FOR ANY CHANGES AT THIS
TIME. NO UPDATES EXPECTED AND ZFPCRP IS OK FOR NOW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...NOT MUCH TO TALK ABOUT...VFR SUMS IT UP. WINDS BECOME
LIGHT (LT 5 KNOTS) THIS EVENING AND MAINTAIN THAT UNTIL AN HOUR OR
SO AFTER SUNRISE WITH A LIGHT NW/N WIND AND FEW HIGH CLOUDS WITH
VEERING OF WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SCT250. KLRD WINDS MAYBE A
BIT SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING THEN LIGHT ON THURSDAY. THAT IS ALL.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...QUIET WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE SHORT TERM. BLOCKING
PATTERN WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED INTO THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY...WITH TROUGHS OVER THE
WEST AND EAST COASTS. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL CLIMB INTO
THE MIDDLE 90S OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WITH LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S
OVER THE NORTHERN COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. LASTLY...
TIDAL LEVELS DID NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO 2 FEET MSL DURING HIGH TIDE
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON SO WENT AHEAD AND CANCELLED COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY. TIDE LEVELS COULD ONCE AGAIN APPROACH 2 FEET MSL DURING
HIGH TIDE OVERNIGHT...BUT DID NOT ISSUE ANOTHER ADVISORY AT THIS
POINT.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
PREVAIL LATE IN THE WEEK.  ONSHORE FLOW WILL BEGIN TO BRING MOISTURE
BACK OVER THE WEEKEND...AND WILL SEE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND
INCREASING PWAT VALUES.  OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AS
DEEP UPPER LOW/TROUGH PUSHES OFF THE EAST COAST SATURDAY. INFLUENCES
FROM THE UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS WILL BEGIN TO EDGE
CLOSER TO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.  MAIN
IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN FURTHER NORTH...BUT EXPECT SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS LOW/TROUGH
LIFTS NORTHEAST AND DRYLINE PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST.  WARMING TREND
WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 90S ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS AND LOWER 90S FOR MUCH OF THE INLAND AREAS BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    87  64  87  65  84  /   0   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          86  59  85  61  83  /   0   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            94  64  92  68  92  /   0   0   0   0   0
ALICE             90  61  89  62  88  /   0   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          85  68  85  69  81  /   0   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           91  62  91  64  91  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        90  62  89  64  87  /   0   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       84  70  85  70  81  /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION



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