Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 292244
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
344 PM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH COOLER,ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA ON
SUNDAY. DRY THROUGH NEXT WEEK, EXCEPT A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
BREEZY AT TIMES NEXT WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO NORTHWEST NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. GUSTS OVER 30 MPH ARE COMMON WITH
GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH IN THE WINDIEST AREAS. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY
OF MOISTURE WITH THIS FRONT, BUT LINGERING MOISTURE ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT. ABOUT 10 DEGREES OF COOLING ACROSS THE NORTH ON SUNDAY
IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND 4 TO 7 DEGREES ACROSS
CENTRAL NV. SOME WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS WHITE PINE COUNTY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON MIGHT BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE ISOLATED MAINLY DRY
THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH LESS WIND SUNDAY BUT STILL BREEZY ACROSS THE
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH WEST WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE.
DRY AND WARMER MONDAY WITH THE NORMAL DIURNAL WINDS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. TROUGH ENERGY OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT SOUTH TOWARD NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THE FLOW ALOFT OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA BACKS SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST...TEMPERATURES ON
TUESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO WARM A COUPLE MORE DEGREES WITH UPPER 80S TO
LOW 90S. LESS IMPACT ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA ON TUESDAY...AS
TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE MID 80S. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE ENTIRE CWA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH WEST TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM.
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WE SHOULD SEE SOME RAIN SHOWERS
IN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES. POST-FRONTAL WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGS STILL COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. REMNANT
MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY LEAD
TO SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ELKO COUNTY ON
FRIDAY...WITH FRIDAY BEING THE COOLEST AFTERNOON OF THE WEEK.
WARMING TREND BEGINS NEXT SATURDAY AS DRY CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE
REGION.
&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...DIMINISH INTO THE MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA INTO THIS
EVENING AS WELL...WITH ROUGHLY A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS AT
KEKO AND KELY. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BE
GENERALLY NORTH AND EAST OF KEKO...AND NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KELY.
SKIES SCATTER/CLEAR LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION. ON SUNDAY
EXPECT LIGHTER WINDS WITH MORE OF A WESTERLY COMPONENT. LESS CLOUDS
ON SUNDAY TOO WITH DRY CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS. MAY SEE SOME
CUMULUS CLOUDS BUILDING EAST AND NORTHEAST OF KELY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTHWEST NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH SOME LOCATIONS GUSTING OVER 40 MPH. THIS COMBINED WITH RH
LESS THAN 15 PCT ARE CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FIRE ZONE 457. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE
AFTER SUNSET. MOISTURE VERY LIMITED WITH THIS FRONT. LINGERING
MOISTURE OVER NORTHEAST NV WILL BE ENOUGH TO KICK OFF ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. MUCH LESS WIND ON SUNDAY BEHIND
THE FRONT. SOME WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS FIRE ZONE 455 COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY AT
TIMES NEXT WEEK DUE TO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NYE
COUNTY-NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY-RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT
RANGE-SOUTHERN LANDER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTY-WHITE
PINE COUNTY.

&&

$$

91/96/96/91


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