Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 240908

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
208 AM PDT Wed Aug 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Today will be dry and a little cooler. Thunderstorms
will begin popping up again Thursday, Friday and Saturday mainly
across central Nevada and east of the Ruby Mountains.


.SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday. The models are in
good agreement this morning. There is one dry day on tap today
before another round of thunderstorms begins Thursday.

Today through tonight. Low pressure will move along the
U.S.-Canadian border north of the Dakotas. The associated trough
axis will extend southwest back towards Nevada. However drier air
has infiltrated the state enough to produce a dry day. High
temperatures will be in the 80s. Low temperatures will generally
fall into the 40s, however some spots will dip into the mid 30s.

Thursday through Thursday evening. Troughing will shift further
west into the state, with the axis of the trough limiting the
northerly flow of moisture. Convection will primarily occur south
of highway 50. High temperatures will be in the 80s.

.LONG TERM...Thursday night through next Wednesday.

An elongated mid-level trough axis situated across the Pacific
Northwest will slowly shift southward and become diffuse Thursday
night across the Great Basin region. A weak monsoonal moisture
flow will push some moisture primarily into White Pine and
eastern Elko and Northern Nye Counties. This moisture will allow
for some isolated thunderstorms to form during Friday afternoon.
The trough will progress eastward out of the great basin on friday
and through the weekend which will take most of the moisture with
it. There will still be some residual moisture that may still
cause some very isolated thunderstorms mainly along the mountains
in White Pine County. By the start of the workweek the moisture
will have mostly moved out of the state leaving dry conditions.
Starting on Monday a high pressure system from California will
build across Nevada with a trough deepening across the pacific
northwest. This will serve to create stronger pressure gradient
across the Nevada which will lead to the winds being stronger and
gusty mainly in the afternoon in Elko and Humboldt Counties.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions with gusty afternoon winds at all sites through
the forecast period.


.FIRE WEATHER...Cooler conditions are expected for the remainder
of the week. No convection is expected today. However isolated
thunderstorms will develop mainly south of highway 50 and east of
the Ruby Mountains during the latter part of the week.




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