Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 270444

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1144 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Surface High pressure will be moving southeast into Iowa tonight.
Cold front that is over southeast Nebraska will continue to move
southeast into Kansas. Current shower and thunderstorm activity
will continue to move southeastward over Southeast Nebraska and
into Northeast Kansas during the evening hours.

Southerly return flow will advect moisture northward into the
Central and Northern Plains on Tuesday. Weak upper shortwave
trough in zonal westerly flow is forecast to move eastward across
the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. Surface frontal boundary
extending from the Dakotas to Western Nebraska on Tuesday night
will move eastward overnight bringing with it a chance of
thunderstorms overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. Front stalls out
over northern Kansas and thunderstorms are again possible starting
Wednesday night into Thursday as a more significant upper short
wave trough moves across the Northern and Central Plains. Most
activity on Thursday will be in east Central and Southeast
Nebraska as well as Western Iowa.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Continued thunderstorm chances will continue through Monday as a
series of upper short wave troughs in zonal flow move across the
Northern and Central Plains.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

VFR conditions are expected through much of the forecast cycle.
Light and variable surface winds will become southerly and
increase with gusts to near 30kts by late afternoon/early evening.
Scattered thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning. Did add a Prob30 group to account for pcpn chances.




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