Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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000
FXZS60 NSTU 300013
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
113 PM SST MON AUG 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW
WINDS SLIGHTLY DIMINISHING THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE EAST WINDS
WILL BE MORE NORTHEASTERLY TUESDAY THEN DIMINISH MORE BY WEDNESDAY
AS THE HIGH PRESSURE FAR SOUTHEAST CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER EAST
FROM THE TERRITORY. THE TROUGH DEVELOPING WEST OF SAVAII IS
FORECASTED TO MOVE CLOSE TO THE SAMOAN ISLANDS BY TUESDAY...BRINGING
AN UPTICK IN CLOUDS AND SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
HENCE...WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE POPS AS MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW A
GREATER CHANCE FOR RAINFALL OVER THE TERRITORY.

.LONG TERM...
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
NEAR NEW ZEALAND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH
ACROSS THE SAMOAN ISLANDS. HENCE...WILL SEE A DOWNWARD TREND IN
CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL BY FRIDAY AND THE RETURN OF TRADE WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND MODEL OUTPUT ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH HEIGHTS
REMAINING BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLDS. THESE HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE
ON A DOWNWARD TREND UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN GRADUALLY BUILD
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND
REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEK...THEN MODERATE TO
POSSIBLY FRESH TRADES WILL RETURN BY SATURDAY. HENCE...WILL CANCEL
BOTH ADVISORIES TONIGHT.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

&&

$$

LUTU-MCMOORE/MEREDITH








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