Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 250825

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
325 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

Showers and scattered thunderstorms across eastern Kansas early
this morning will slowly move to the east through today as a slow
moving cold front makes its way through the Ozarks.

Temperatures will see a fairly good gradient from northwest to
southeast today as the front and associated cloud cover keep highs
across the northwestern Ozarks and southeastern Kansas in the
middle to upper 70s while highs for areas of south central
Missouri and the eastern Ozarks climb into the middle to upper

The front will have made its way through all but the eastern
Ozarks by this evening with lingering rain across south central
Missouri through the overnight hours. Temperatures behind the
front will begin to feel more fall like with lows falling into
the 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

The cooling trend and fall temperatures will begin Monday as cool
Canadian high pressure filters into the Ozarks behind the cold
front. Highs Monday will struggle to reach 70 degrees with lows
Monday night falling Into the 40s area wide.

Northwesterly upper level flow and surface high pressure will
remain in control through mid week before upper level ridging
move over the middle of the country again. As the ridge moves over
the region a sprawling area of high pressure will spill across
the plains all the way to the Gulf coast. This will bring very
nice weather to the region with sunny skies, mild temperature in
the lower to middle 70s, and lower humidities through the end of
the week. Temperatures will slowly climb towards highs nearing 80
degrees for next weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sat Sep 24 2016

Mostly VFR will continue through the next 24 hours with the
exception of convection along a front moving into the area
tomorrow. This will be the only aviation concern with scattered
convection in the area tomorrow morning through tomorrow
afternoon. Convection may bring brief periods of MVFR ceilings and
visibility drops. Winds will be southerly through tomorrow morning
with a switch to northwest for JLN by tomorrow afternoon behind
the front. The wind shift will be late afternoon into the evening for
the rest of the TAF sites.




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