Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 100947
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
245 AM MST Sat Dec 10 2016

SYNOPSIS...Periods of high clouds, above normal temperatures and
dry weather will prevail through middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The storm track will remain north of the area the next
several days. This will result in a continuation of above normal
high temperatures.  A few weather systems passing north of the area
will bring some high cloudiness from time-to-time. Models were still
showing a change in the pattern taking place by the end of this
coming week. both the GFS and ECMWF models track a system into the
west coast around Thursday, with the chance of showers increasing
Friday into next weekend. Gusty winds and cooler temperatures will
accompany this system.

&&


AVIATION...Valid through 11/12Z. SCT-BKN clouds above 20k ft AGL
becoming SKC-FEW clouds above 20k ft AGL by 10/18Z. Surface winds
less than 12 kts thru the forecast period. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions and above normal temperatures are
expected through the middle of next week, along with periods of high
clouds. 20-ft winds will generally be less than 15 mph through next
Thursday.

The models then indicate weather changes are in store next weekend
as a system moves into the region, with cooler temperatures, a
chance of precipitation and gusty winds. However, confidence in the
exact timing and details is low at this point in time.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

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