Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXHW01 KWNH 281205
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
804 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

VALID 00Z THU SEP 29 2016 - 00Z THU OCT 06 2016

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE TO DEVELOP AND MAINTAIN AN
AMPLIFIED MEAN TROUGH POSITION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THIS FAVORS BROAD AND MODERATELY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE
IN ITS WAKE THAT SHOULD SUSTAIN MODERATE TRADES BACK ACROSS THE
ISLANDS. AS THE TRADES PERSIST, REMNANT MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE
ULIKA IS FORECAST BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER AND NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER TO SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS SUNDAY TO TUESDAY,
LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN LOCALIZED HEAVIER RAIN POTENTIAL.

SCHICHTEL

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