Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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482 AXUS71 KBOX 082208 DGTBOX CTC003-013-015-MAC005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-102215- DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 608 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016 ...DROUGHT WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS... SYNOPSIS... BELOW NORMAL MONTHLY PRECIPITATION THAT STARTED BACK IN MARCH OF 2016 HAS CONTINUED THROUGH JUNE. IN JUNE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND RECEIVED LESS THAN HALF OF THE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. ACCORDING TO THE JULY 5TH RELEASE OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WAS EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS /D0/. MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS /D1/ EXTENDED FROM NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS TO THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY AND TO NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS /D2/ EXTENDED FROM ESSEX COUNTY IN MASSACHUSETTS...THROUGH MOST OF MIDDLESEX COUNTY AND INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS ON JUNE 27TH THE CONNECTICUT DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH ISSUED A DROUGHT ADVISORY FOR THE STATE OF CONNECTICUT. THE ADVISORY EMPHASIZED THAT NO DROUGHT CONDITIONS YET EXISTED IN THE STATE BUT URGED RESIDENTS TO FOLLOW ANY WATER CONSERVATION RECOMMENDATIONS REQUESTED BY THEIR WATER UTILITY. ON JULY 8TH THE MASSACHUSETTS EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL AFFAIRS ISSUED A DROUGHT WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE AS WELL AS A DROUGHT ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY OF MASSACHUSETTS. SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER ON JULY 2ND INDICATED THAT MOST OF MASSACHUSETTS WAS ABNORMALLY DRY. GROUNDWATER CONDITIONS. THE MASSACHUSETTS ACTIVE WATER LEVEL NETWORK ISSUED BY THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY /USGS/ AS OF JULY 8TH SHOWED MOST OF THE REAL- TIME MEASURED GROUND WATER WELLS WERE BELOW TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF MASSACHUSETTS FOR THIS DATE. WELLS ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WERE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS DATE. RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS. THE MAP OF REAL-TIME STREAMFLOW COMPARED TO HISTORIC STREAMFLOW FOR THE DAY OF THE YEAR AS ISSUED BY THE USGS SHOWED THAT THE MAJORITY OF MONITORED RIVERS IN MASSACHUSETTS WERE BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS DATE. THERE WERE 17 GAGE SITES THAT WERE AT RECORD LOW LEVELS FOR THIS DATE. AGRICULTURE IMPACTS. THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTED DIRECT IMPACTS ON AGRICULTURE IN EITHER MASSACHUSETTS OR CONNECTICUT. HOWEVER MASSACHUSETTS REPORTS THAT FARMERS ARE HAVING TO IRRIGATE THEIR CROPS MUCH MORE THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. FIRE DANGER HAZARDS. DEAD FUELS CONTINUE TO BE DRY ACROSS MASSACHUSETTS WITH EVEN THE LARGER FUELS GREATER THAN 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER HAVING MOISTURES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS, WHICH IS MUCH DRIER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS GREATER THAN 400 OVER PORTIONS OF MIDDLESEX AND WORCESTER COUNTIES IN MASSACHUSETTS. THE DIRECTOR OF THE MASSACHUSETTS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY STATED THAT "IF THESE VERY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE SUMMER MONTHS, THE THREAT OF WILDFIRES WILL BECOME EVEN GREATER." CLIMATE SUMMARY... PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN AVERAGING BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF MASSACHUSETTS OVER THE PAST 4 MONTHS. FOR THE MONTHS OF MAY AND JUNE RAINFALL RANGED FROM 52 PERCENT OF NORMAL FOR CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS TO 61 PERCENT FOR THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY OF MASSACHUSETTS. OVER THE APRIL TO JUNE TIME FRAME CENTRAL SECTIONS HAVE RECEIVED ONLY 63 PERCENT OF THE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. FOR THIS SAME TIME FRAME THE NORTHEAST SECTION RECEIVED 62 PERCENT AND THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY RECEIVED 61 PERCENT OF NORMAL PRECIPITATION. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... THE FORECAST FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...JULY 9TH AND 10TH...INDICATES THAT THERE WILL BE A 40 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE FOUND OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF MASSACHUSETTS. WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME HEAVIER RAINFALL WITH SOME OF THE SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ANY HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL BE VERY LOCALIZED AND WILL OFFER NO REAL RELIEF FROM THE CURRENT DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND WILL RANGE FROM THE 60S TO THE MID 70S. BEGINNING MONDAY JULY 11TH HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY JULY 14TH. DURING THE WEEK THERE WILL BE A WARMING TREND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BY THURSDAY REACHING THE LOW TO MID 90S. THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ ON JULY 8TH IS SHOWING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR JULY 16TH THROUGH JULY 22ND. FOR THIS TIME PERIOD THE FORECAST IS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF NORMAL...BELOW NORMAL OR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTH OF JULY ISSUED ON JUNE 16TH BY CPC INDICATED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE MONTH AND EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL...NORMAL AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK FOR THE JULY...AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER ISSUED JUNE 16TH BY CPC INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS THREE MONTH PERIOD. THE OUTLOOK FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THIS THREE MONTH PERIOD IS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE NORMAL...NORMAL AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... WITH THE BELOW NORMAL AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST FOUR MONTHS, RIVER AND STREAM FLOWS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ARE SHOWING BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS DATE. ALSO IMPACTED ARE GROUND WATER LEVELS, WHICH OVER MUCH OF MASSACHUSETTS AWAY FROM CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS, ARE AT BELOW TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL LEVELS COMPARED TO CLIMATOLOGY FOR THIS DATE. WITHOUT A RETURN OF NORMAL PRECIPITATION THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT LIKELY TO IMPROVE. NEXT ISSUANCE DATE... THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON AUGUST 10TH OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS. && RELATED WEB SITES... ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES... US DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV NORTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.NRCC.CORNELL.EDU ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV US GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS. QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS... IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 445 MYLES STANDISH BLVD TAUNTON MA 02780 PHONE...508-823-1900 BOX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV $$ DUNHAM

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