Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000 FXUS61 KAKQ 262015 AFDAKQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 415 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A weak cold front will cross the area tonight into Tuesday morning. A secondary boundary will push across the region late Tuesday into Tuesday night. Surface high pressure will build over the area Wednesday, then slides off the coast for Wednesday night and Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... Nice aftn acrs the area under a partly to mostly sunny sky, as weak high pressure was sliding just offshr. Temps ranged fm the upper 70s to mid 80s. The high will move farther out to sea tonight into Tue morning, as a weak cold front pushes into and acrs the region. No pcpn expected, but becoming partly to mostly cloudy later tonight into Tue morning, with lows mainly in the upper 50s to lower 60s. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/... Broad trough aloft slides fm the Ern Great Lakes/OH Valley ewrd acrs the NE U.S. and Mid Atlc region Tue into Tue evening. A relatively potent s/w aloft will track acrs the local area Tue aftn into Tue evening. Despite relatively dry airmass, this system could prove strong enough to squeeze out isolated to sctd showers or tstms in the aftn into the evening, esply E of I 95. Will carry 20-40% PoPs, with the highest PoPs over SE VA and NE NC. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Sfc high pressure will finally build into/over the region Tue night thru Wed, providing dry weather and comfortable conditions under a mainly clear sky. Lows Tue night in the lower to mid 50s inland, to the upper 50s to lower 60s at the coast. Highs on Wed ranging fm the upper 70s to mid 80s. The high will slide off the coast for Wed night and Thu, maintaining dry wx. A little more humidity returns as SSW flow starts to dominate again. Lows Wed night 60 to 65, and highs on Thu in the mid to upper 80s. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Long term period will feature generally dry wx with near to slightly above normal temps through the period. Sfc high pres slides offshore Wed night into Thu allowing for S/SW flow to develop across the Mid Atlc and temps to max out in the mid-upr 80s Thu. Similar conditions into Fri with a mostly sunny sky and high temps in the upr 80s to lwr 90s. Next chance of rain arrives Sat/Sat night with an approaching cold front. With this several days out will cap PoPs at 30% for now, but may raise PoPs for this in future updates if the timing holds. && .AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... VFR conditions expected through the 18Z TAF forecast. Isolated or sctd shras and high based cigs possible Tue aftn into Tue evening, esply at PHF/ORF/ECG, as a secondary cold front crosses the local area. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected for much of the week, as sfc high pressure builds over the region then slides off the coast. && .MARINE... Benign boating conditions expected the next few days. Winds remain under 10 kt today with a weak trough of low pressure in the vicinity. A weak cold front pushes offshore Mon night into Tue morning, but with weak CAA expect N/NW winds behind the front only up to 10-15 kt. Sfc high pres returns for Wednesday leading to aftn sea breezes. Waves over the Bay only 1-2 ft with seas over the coastal waters 2-3 ft thru Wed. High pressure slides well off the coast Thursday/Friday with return flow resulting in S-SW winds increasing to 10-20 kt. Waves 2-3 ft on the Bay and seas possibly building to 4-5 ft north of Cape Charles. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...TMG NEAR TERM...TMG SHORT TERM...ALB/TMG LONG TERM...LKB AVIATION...TMG MARINE...LKB

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