Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000 FXUS61 KAKQ 130604 AFDAKQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 104 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Markedly colder air spreads across the region through Wednesday, with temperatures moderating for late week into the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... Gusty winds to 35-45 mph ushering in much colder/very dry air into the region attm. SCT RN-SN SHRAs will be exiting the coast before midnight. Otherwise...partly cloudy...gusty winds continuing and cold overnight. Lows 20-25F most inland places...m-u20s right at the coast in SE VA-NE NC. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/... Dry on Wed as weak sfc high pres slides south of the area. Expect wind chill values in the 20s even during the middle of the day with winds gusting up to 20-30 mph and high temps only in the mid 30s most spots...15-20 degrees below normal. Next chance of pcpn arrives Wed night with an approaching clipper system. Have maintained a 20% of rain/snow showers over the Lwr Eastern Shore, with most pcpn over the fa being just sprinkles/flurries. Dry then for Thu with temps moderating...highs mainly in the mid/upr 40s under a partly cloudy sky. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... The next clipper system approaches the region from the WNW Friday, moving across the region Friday afternoon and night. This system is expected to be moisture starved, but will bring a slight chance of rain/snow showers to primarily northern portions of the area. At this time it appears that any snow accumulations will be minor/limited. Any rain/snow showers come to an end by Saturday morning. High pressure builds back into the region for Saturday and Sunday leading to dry conditions and a warming trend with temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 40s on Saturday and into the 50s on Sunday. Another system approaches the region during the day on Sunday bringing another chance of rain Sunday into Monday. Temperatures continue to moderate into early next week with highs in the mid to upper 50s on Monday and Tuesday and lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. && .AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Cold front now offshore early this morning, with west-northwest winds remaining gusty in its wake through tomorrow. Gusts of up to 25-30 kt expected through early to mid aftn. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions all sites through the 06z TAF period. Outlook: Expect VFR conditions to then prevail for much of the week ahead. Some mid to high clouds expected with next clipper to cross north of the terminals late tomorrow aftn and night. Low chance of a few flurries at SBY Wed evening. Otherwise, dry with VFR conditions for much of the latter half of the week into the weekend. && .MARINE... Gale warnings remain in place through Wed afternoon due to the forecasted period of elevated winds behind todays arctic cold front. Expect gusts btwn 35-40 kts. Kept the local rivers (except the lwr James) in strong SCA with gusts capped at 30 kts. Seas 5-7 ft, with 4-5 ft waves. Expect the gales to be replaced with SCA`s Wed night through Thurs morning as the gradient relaxes a bit ahead of the next weak wave approaching from the west. Latest data showing sub-SCA conditions from Thurs afternoon through Sat. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... Potential exists for some low water issues during Thurs tide cycles given the gusty NW winds. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ635>637. Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630>634-638- 650-652-654-656-658. && $$ SYNOPSIS...ALB/MAS NEAR TERM...ALB SHORT TERM...MAS LONG TERM...AJB AVIATION...AJB/MAM MARINE...MPR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

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