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846
FXUS61 KAKQ 261456
AFDAKQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1056 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
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A cold front will cross the area tonight, bringing cooler and
drier weather through midweek. Surface high pressure will push
off the coast Wednesday and Thursday, with warmer temperatures
for the latter half of the week.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Weak sfc high pressure sliding acrs the area will provide a
partly to mostly sunny sky and comfortable conditions this
aftn. Highs will be mainly in the lower to mid 80s, with upper
70s/around 80 at the beaches.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Broad trough aloft sharpens into the Great Lakes/OH Valley by
tonight...pushing a secondary cold front across the FA. Limited
moisture associated w/ this front...though can not rule out an
ISOLD SHRA...esp on the coastal plain. Lows in the m-u50s inland
to the l-m60s at the coast.

A relatively potent s/w aloft will track across the local area
Tue as the axis of the trough aloft swing to the E coastdrop
across the local area. Despite dry airmass...this system could
prove strong enough to squeeze out ISOLD/SCT SHRAs/tstms in the
afternoon...esp E of I 95. Will carry 20-30% PoPs. Highs in the
u70s- l80s.

Sfc high pressure finally builds into/over the region Tue
night-Wed providing dry weather and comfortable conditions
under a mainly clear sky. Lows in the l-m50s inland to the
u50s-l60s at the coast. Highs Wed 80-85F...m-u70s at the
beaches.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Long term period will feature generally dry wx with near to
slightly above normal temps through the period. Sfc high pres
slides offshore Wed night into Thu allowing for S/SW flow to
develop across the Mid Atlc and temps to max out in the mid-upr
80s Thu. Similar conditions into Fri with a mostly sunny sky and
high temps in the upr 80s to lwr 90s. Next chance of rain
arrives Sat/Sat night with an approaching cold front. With this
several days out will cap PoPs at 30% for now, but may raise
PoPs for this in future updates if the timing holds.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions through the 12Z TAF forecast. ISOLD/SCT SHRAs
and high based CIGs possible Tue (afternoon) as a secondary cold
front crosses the local area. Otherwise...VFR conditions are
expected for much of the week as sfc hi pres builds over the
region.

&&

.MARINE...
Benign boating conditions expected the next few days. Winds
remain under 10 kt today with a weak trough of low pressure in
the vicinity. A weak cold front pushes offshore Mon night into
Tue morning, but with weak CAA expect N/NW winds behind the
front only up to 10-15 kt. Sfc high pres returns for Wednesday
leading to aftn sea breezes. Waves over the Bay only 1-2 ft with
seas over the coastal waters 2-3 ft thru Wed. High pressure
slides well off the coast Thursday/Friday with return flow
resulting in S-SW winds increasing to 10-20 kt. Waves 2-3 ft on
the Bay and seas possibly building to 4-5 ft north of Cape
Charles.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...ALB/TMG
NEAR TERM...TMG
SHORT TERM...ALB
LONG TERM...MAS
AVIATION...ALB
MARINE...JDM