Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KAKQ 260755 AFDAKQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 355 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTH AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
ANTHR BONUS "CHAMBER OF COMMERCE" SUMMER DAY AHEAD AS H5 RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST CONTINUES TO EXTEND SOUTH AND EXPAND ACROSS THE MID ATLNTC REGION TODAY. THIS KEEPS THE PERSISTANT NE FLOW...BELOW NORMAL TMPS & COMFY RH LEVELS GOING. DATA SUGGESTS SCT SC DVLPNG ONCE AGAIN WITH PSBL BKN SC DECK ACROSS SERN ZONES AS SOME MID LVL MOISTURE ROTATES IN FROM THE OCEAN. ANY SHWRS STAY IVOF GULF STREAM. H85 TMPS ARND 15C SPRT HIGHS IN THE L-M80S. COOLER AT THE BEACHES (XCPT U70S-NR 80) DUE TO THE NE WNDS.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
DRY UNDER M CLR TO PT CLDY SKIES TONIGHT. SOME PTCHY FOG PSBL IN AREAS AWAY FROM THE WATER AS WINDS DECOUPLE & TMPS APPRCH DP TMPS. LOWS IN THE 60S XCPT U50S NW PIEDMONT AREAS. EXTENSION OF THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES ITS WESTWARD SHIFT WED AS CRISTOBAL ACCELERATES AS IT MOVES NE FROM ARND 33N 69W. TSCTNS DRY SO EXPECT ANTHR MSTLY SUNNY DAY. WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST ALONG WITH H85 TMPS TO 18C RESULTS IN HIGHS M-U80S IVOF WATER TO ARND 90 WEST OF THE BAY. MODELS HAVE NEXT CDFRNT APPRCHG FROM THE NW WED NIGHT. DATA SUGGESTS ANY CONVECTION WITH THIS BNDRY REMAINS NORTH OF FA WED EVE BEFORE DSPTG ACROSS NRN VA BY MIDNIGHT. XPCT PT CLDY SKIES NORTH TO M CLR SKIES SOUTH. WARMER WITH LOWS 65-70. THE WEAK CDFRNT PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE FA THURSDAY. MSTR RTHR LIMITED SO ANY CONVECTION THAT DVLPS WILL BE ISLTD...AFTR 18Z AND CONFINED TO SWRN PORTIONS OF THE FA (SOUTH OF I64 AND AWAY FROM THE COAST) WHERE THE BEST SPRT WILL BE. HIGHS IN THE M-U80S.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... UPR LVL TROUGH EXITS NEW ENGLAND THU NGT...LEAVING A WK SFC FNTL BNDRY ACRS (SRN/SW) PORTIONS OF THE FA. AS SFC HI PRES MOVES E THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FRI INTO FRI NGT...THAT FNTL BNDRY WILL PUSH N TRHOUGH THE FA (AS A WARM FRONT), WNDS WILL SWING FM ESE TO MNLY S THU NGT THROUGH FRI NGT. FA IN WARM SECTOR THIS WKND...W/ HI PRES OFFSHORE AND A WEAKENING CDFNT SLOLY APPROACHING FM THE WNW. INCRSG MOISTURE AHEAD OF THAT FNT WILL LEAD TO A GRADUAL INCRS IN POPS BY SUN...CONTG INTO MON. HI TEMPS IN THE L/M80S FRI...THEN M/U80S SAT THROUGH MON. LO TEMPS FM THE 60S TO L70S THROUGH THE PD. && .AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. NE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SFC WINDS GENERALLY 10-15 KT OR LESS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRATOCU TO MOVE ONSHORE BEFORE DAYBREAK ALONG THE SE VA COAST AND COULD SEE SCT/BKN CIGS BETWEEN 2500-3500 FT AT KORF/KPHF. ANY CIGS WILL LIKELY SCOUR OUT QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE. OUTLOOK...DRY WEATHER WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NE IS SLOW TO RETREAT. && .MARINE...
-- Changed Discussion --
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND CONTINUES THE PERSISTENT NE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTH OVER THE WATERS WED NIGHT INTO THURS. THAT FRONT STALLS OVER THE WATERS BY THURS AFTN/NIGHT WHILE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. WIND SPEEDS OVER THE WATERS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN AOB 15 KT THROUGH FRIDAY. SEAS HAVE ALREADY SUBSIDED BELOW 5 FT ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS THIS MORNING...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE SOUTH TO THE NC BORDER THROUGH THIS AFTN/EVE. SEAS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CONSISTENTLY REMAIN BELOW 5 FT SOUTH OF THE NC BORDER BEFORE THE NEXT INCREASE IN SEAS RETURNS WED INTO THURS DUE TO SWELL FROM HURRICANE CRISTOBAL PASSING WELL OFF THE COAST. AFTER A PERIOD OF NNE WINDS ON WED...MOST OF THE WATERS WILL SEE THE WIND DIRECTION CHANGE TO OFFSHORE WED NIGHT. ONCE THE WEAK SFC BOUNDARY SLIPS OVER THE WATERS THURS...THE WIND DIRECTION BECOMES NNE THEN E INTO FRI (WITH A POSSIBLE SURGE IN SPEEDS TO LOW END SCA...ESPECIALLY NRN PORTIONS EARLY THURS MORNING).
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
-- Changed Discussion --
MD...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MDZ025. NC...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NCZ102. VA...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR VAZ098. MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR VAZ099-100. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ654. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ656. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ658.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& $$ SYNOPSIS...MPR NEAR TERM...MPR SHORT TERM...MPR LONG TERM...ALB AVIATION...JDM MARINE...JDM

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.