Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FXUS61 KAKQ 290748
AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
347 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO AND OVER THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN SLIDE OFF THE COAST
ON THURSDAY. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT BACK TOWARD THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UNSEASONABLY DEEP TROUGH ALOFT INVOF ERN CONUS HAS DRIVEN CDFNT S
TO THE GULF CST THE PAST 24 HRS. W/ MNLY SKC OVR THE RGN...AIR
COMFY W/ LO DEWPTS (MNLY FM THE M50S TO L60S). XPCG A SUNNY TO
PCLDY DAY...THOUGH NOT RULING OUT AN ISOLD SHRA/TSTM INVOF CSTL NE
NC (IN AN AREA OF SLGTLY ENHANCED LO LVL CONVERGENCE). HI TEMPS
AVGG 5 TO 10 DEGS F BLO...RANGING FM THE M/U70S AT THE CST...TO
THE L80S INLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TROUGH ALOFT LINGERS OVR ERN CONUS THROUGH MIDWEEK. ANOTHER
COMFY/MSTLY SKC NGT TNGT WITH LO TEMPS RANGING FM THE M50S TO L60S
MOST PLACES. P/MSNY AGN ON WED WITH HI IN THE L/M80S. MOSTLY CLEAR
WED NGT WITH LO TEMPS RANGING FM THE U50S TO M60S. WK SFC HI PRES
WILL BE OFF THE CST FOR THU...WITH SSE LO LVL FLO ACRS THE AREA.
ONLY A VERY SLGT INCRS IN HUMIDITY IS XPCD (ON THU)...OTRW P/MSNY
W/ HI TEMPS IN THE L/M80S (MAYBE A FEW U80S INLAND).

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
EXTENDED PERIOD CHARACTERIZED BY PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD STAYS
DRY THU NGT. ON FRIDAY...MDLS BEGINNING TO BRING INCRSG MOISTURE
INTO THE RGN FM THE SSW. HAVE NUDGE POPS UP AN AVG OF 10% (HIGHEST
INLAND) FOR FRI...RESULTING IN PSBL ISOLD/SCT PCPN (MNLY AWAY FM
THE CST) ALG W/ VRB CLDS/MCLDY CONDS.

SOME SCT (MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN) SHRAS EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND AS THE TROUGH RETROGRADES BACK TOWARDS THE MIDDLE MS VLY
AND A COASTAL FRONT/INVERTED TROUGH WILL LOCATE ALONG/JUST OFF THE
MID- ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST COAST. THIS WILL ALSO BRING AN INCREASE IN
HUMIDITY THROUGH THIS SAME WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK TIME FRAME.

FOR TEMPS...LOOK FOR HIGHS TO REMAIN AT OR BELOW CLIMO
NORMAL...GENERALLY RIDING INTO THE L-M 80S. EARLY MORNING LOWS
GENERALLY IN THE 60S SAT MORNING, INCREMENTALLY INCREASING TO U60S
TO AROUND 70 BY EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDS OVER THE CWA. STRONG LOW PRES SYS OVER NEW ENGLAND
BRINGING W-NW FLOW OVER THE REGION. A COLD FRONT LIES OVER THE
CAROLINAS AND HIGH PRES WILL PREVAIL THRU THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
WINDS WILL BECOME N-NE TDA.

OUTLOOK...DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY. MAINLY VFR IS
EXPECTED ALTHOUGH PATCHY MVFR/IFR FOG COULD DEVELOP NEAR SUNRISE
LATE IN THE WEEK. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND.

NOTE: OBSERVATIONS FROM KSBY ARE NOT READILY AVAILABLE DUE TO A
COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEM. RETURN TO SERVICE IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...CURRENT INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED BY CALLING INTO THE
ASOS SITE DIRECTLY. AMD NOT SKED WILL BE APPENDED TO THE KSBY TAF
UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

&&

.MARINE...
COLD FRNT IS PUSHING FARTHER OFFSHORE ERLY THIS MORNG. SCA FOR THE
BAY/LWR JAMES WILL END AT 4 AM AS WINDS ARE SLOWLY DIMINISHING WITH
WEAKENING CAA BEHIND THE FRNT. WITH HI PRES BLDG IN FM THE W AND
WINDS 5-10 KT...SOME SEA BREEZE EFFECTS ARE PSBL TDA. EXPECT 1-2 FT
WAVES OVR THE BAY AND 2-3 FT SEAS OVR CSTL WTRS. WINDS REMAIN AOB 10
KT INTO WED WITH SFC HI PRES STILL IN THE VICINITY. WINDS BCM SLY BY
THU AS THE HI SLIDES OFFSHORE AND LO PRES PASSES WELL N OF THE LOCAL
AREA. COASTAL FRONT/INVERTED TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE EAST BY THE
WEEKEND...WITH WINDS VEERING AROUND TO THE S-SW LATE IN THE WEEKEND
WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING AGAIN OVER THE WATERS.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...ALB/TMG
NEAR TERM...ALB/TMG
SHORT TERM...ALB/TMG
LONG TERM...ALB/MAM
AVIATION...MAS/JEF/LSA
MARINE...MAS





























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