Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000 FXUS61 KAKQ 260706 AFDAKQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 306 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will cross the area tonight...bringing cooler and drier weather through midweek. Surface high pressure will push off the coast Wednesday and Thursday with warmer temperatures for the latter half of the week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Weak sfc hi pres slides over the FA today. Drier airmass becoming increasingly established over the local area...w/ dewpoints continuing to lower. Starting out mainly sunny...then expecting SCT-BKN CU development (w/ heating and local seabreezes). Highs mainly in the l-m80s...u70s-around 80F at the beaches. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Broad trough aloft sharpens into the Great Lakes/OH Valley by tonight...pushing a secondary cold front across the FA. Limited moisture associated w/ this front...though can not rule out an ISOLD SHRA...esp on the coastal plain. Lows in the m-u50s inland to the l-m60s at the coast. A relatively potent s/w aloft will track across the local area Tue as the axis of the trough aloft swing to the E coastdrop across the local area. Despite dry airmass...this system could prove strong enough to squeeze out ISOLD/SCT SHRAs/tstms in the afternoon...esp E of I 95. Will carry 20-30% PoPs. Highs in the u70s- l80s. Sfc high pressure finally builds into/over the region Tue night-Wed providing dry weather and comfortable conditions under a mainly clear sky. Lows in the l-m50s inland to the u50s-l60s at the coast. Highs Wed 80-85F...m-u70s at the beaches. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Long term period will feature generally dry wx with near to slightly above normal temps through the period. Sfc high pres slides offshore Wed night into Thu allowing for S/SW flow to develop across the Mid Atlc and temps to max out in the mid-upr 80s Thu. Similar conditions into Fri with a mostly sunny sky and high temps in the upr 80s to lwr 90s. Next chance of rain arrives Sat/Sat night with an approaching cold front. With this several days out will cap PoPs at 30% for now, but may raise PoPs for this in future updates if the timing holds. && .AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR conditions through the 06Z TAF forecast. ISOLD/SCT SHRAs and high based CIGs possible Tue (afternoon) as a secondary cold front crosses the local area. Otherwise...VFR conditions are expected for much of the week as sfc hi pres builds over the region. && .MARINE... Benign boating conditions expected the next few days. Winds remain under 10 kt today with a weak trough of low pressure in the vicinity. A weak cold front pushes offshore Mon night into Tue morning, but with weak CAA expect N/NW winds behind the front only up to 10-15 kt. Sfc high pres returns for Wednesday leading to aftn sea breezes. Waves over the Bay only 1-2 ft with seas over the coastal waters 2-3 ft thru Wed. High pressure slides well off the coast Thursday/Friday with return flow resulting in S-SW winds increasing to 10-20 kt. Waves 2-3 ft on the Bay and seas possibly building to 4-5 ft north of Cape Charles. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...ALB/MAM NEAR TERM...ALB SHORT TERM...ALB LONG TERM...MAS AVIATION...ALB MARINE...JDM

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